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Newport County VS Swindon Town

Rodney Parade Saturday, Oct 4, 2025 At 07:30 Edt Declan Bourne, England

Match Events

Newport County Newport County
Swindon Town Swindon Town
9'
Yellow Card
9'
Lee Jenkins
Yellow Card
Foul
10'
10'
O. Palmer
Assist: F. Munroe
17'
Yellow Card
17'
Kai Whitmore
Yellow Card
Argument
32'
Yellow Card
32'
Cameron Evans
Yellow Card
Foul
53'
Yellow Card
53'
Tom Nichols
Yellow Card
Foul
57'
C. Evans
On: C. Evans Off: C. Antwi
Substitution
57'
C. Baker-Richardson
On: C. Baker-Richardson Off: M. Reindorf
Substitution
59'
Yellow Card
59'
Finley Munroe
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
65'
D. Oldaker
On: D. Oldaker Off: D. Butterworth
Substitution
70'
J. Clarke
On: J. Clarke Off: B. Kamwa
Substitution
70'
N. Opoku
On: N. Opoku Off: M. Spellman
Substitution
73'
Yellow Card
73'
Paul Glatzel
Yellow Card
Foul
82'
P. Glatzel
On: P. Glatzel Off: B. Bodin
Substitution
88'
R. Tafazolli
On: R. Tafazolli Off: T. Wilson-Brown
Substitution
88'
T. Nichols
On: T. Nichols Off: A. Murphy
Substitution
88'
R. Tafazolli
On: R. Tafazolli Off: T. Wilson-Brown
Substitution
88'
T. Nichols
On: T. Nichols Off: A. Murphy
Substitution
90'+2
Adam Murphy
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+6
Michael Spellman
Yellow Card
Argument
90'+7
Yellow Card
90'+7
Yellow Card
90'+7
Daniel Butterworth
Yellow Card
Argument

Lineups

Newport County Newport County (5-3-2)

Starting XI

Swindon Town Swindon Town (3-4-2-1)

Starting XI

Match Statistics

Newport County Newport County
Swindon Town Swindon Town
44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
14 Fouls 15
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 1
294 Passes 382
201 Accurate Passes 297
68% Pass Accuracy 78%

Team Comparison

38.9
Overall Strength
52.9
40.7% Attacking Power 59.3%
43.4% Defensive Strength 56.6%
35.3% Current Form 64.7%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Newport County Newport County
Swindon Town Swindon Town
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
15% | 28%
Avg Total Goals
2.7 | 2.8

Cards Analysis

Newport County 1.8/Game
78
3
0-15'
7
16-30'
7
31-45'
11
46-60'
24
61-75'
17
76-90'
15
Swindon Town 1.6/Game
72
3
0-15'
1
16-30'
14
31-45'
16
46-60'
18
61-75'
9
76-90'
17

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Newport County
12W 7D 0L | 48:77 | 0.93 ppg
Swindon Town
22W 9D 0L | 70:59 | 1.63 ppg
2024/2025
Newport County
13W 10D 0L | 52:76 | 1.07 ppg
Swindon Town
15W 17D 0L | 71:63 | 1.35 ppg
2023/2024
Newport County
16W 7D 0L | 62:76 | 1.2 ppg
Swindon Town
14W 12D 0L | 77:83 | 1.17 ppg

Match Result

Draw
Confidence: 48.1%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
60.4%

Both Teams Score

No
54.3%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Newport County 4.8%
Draw 48.1%
Swindon Town 47.1%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
65.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 98.1% Good ✕ Wrong
Under 0.5 Goals No 89.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 89.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 87.3% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 3 Cards No 84.6% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 3.5 Goals No 80.5% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 80.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 8 Shots on Target No 76.4% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 74.8% Good ✕ Wrong
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners No 69.2% Good ✕ Wrong
Goals After 80' No 69.0% Good ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 66.5% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 66.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 61.7% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals No 60.4% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 60.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Both Teams Score No 54.3% Fair ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners No 54.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals Both Halves No 51.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Half Time Result HT Draw 50.4% Fair ✕ Wrong
Home More Shots No 50.4% Fair ✓ Correct
Match Result Draw 48.1% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 1-1 13.3% Fair N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
89.3%
Over 1.5
66.1%
Over 2.5
39.6%
Over 3.5
19.6%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
27.0%
HT Draw
50.4%
HT Away Win
22.5%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
31.0%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
30.9%
Over 11 Corners
12.7%
Home Most Corners
46.0%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
15.4%
Over 5 Cards
1.9%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
23.6%
Home More Shots
49.6%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
49.9%
Away Exceed xG
49.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
39.9%
High xG Variance
41.4%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
8.2
Total Cards
2.1

League Position

Newport County Newport County
43 Points 20
Swindon Town Swindon Town
75 Points 9

Frequently Asked Questions about Newport County vs Swindon Town