Nacional SP VS Grêmio Sãocarlense
Estádio Nicolau Alayon
Saturday, Feb 7, 2026 At 13:00 Est
Recent Form
Nacional SP
L
L
D
W
W
Head to Head
Match Events
Nacional SP
Grêmio Sãocarlense
45'+2
⚽
Fernando Neto
90'+5
Victor
Red Card
Lineups
No lineups available for this match
Match Statistics
Match statistics not available
Statistics are not available for this match yet.
Team Comparison
51.7
Overall Strength
40.7
53.2%
Attacking Power
46.8%
53.1%
Defensive Strength
46.9%
75.9%
Current Form
24.1%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Nacional SP
Grêmio Sãocarlense
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
47%
|
27%
Avg Total Goals
2.2
|
2.2
Cards Analysis
Grêmio Sãocarlense
0.1/Game
0
1
46-60'
1
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Nacional SP
8W 6D 0L
|
23:19
|
1.58 ppg
Grêmio Sãocarlense
2W 8D 0L
|
16:17
|
0.93 ppg
2024/2025
Nacional SP
4W 4D 0L
|
19:26
|
1.07 ppg
Grêmio Sãocarlense
1W 3D 0L
|
4:9
|
0.75 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
45.7%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
75.7%
Both Teams Score
No
55.3%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Nacional SP
45.7%
Draw
37.1%
Grêmio Sãocarlense
17.2%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
74.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5 Cards | No | 99.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 92.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 90.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 90.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Red Card | No | 90.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 81.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 81.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 75.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 75.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Both Teams Score | No | 55.3% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 50.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 50.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | No | 50.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Home Most Corners | No | 50.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Match Result | Home Win | 45.7% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 1-0 | 17.4% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
81.1%
Over 1.5
50.5%
Over 2.5
24.3%
Over 3.5
9.4%
Under 0.5
18.9%
Under 1.5
49.5%
Under 2.5
75.7%
Under 3.5
90.6%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.3%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
21.7%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
35.0%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
0.1%
Over 11 Corners
0.1%
Home Most Corners
50.0%
Goal from Corner
5.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
7.2%
Over 5 Cards
0.5%
Red Card
9.8%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.1%
Home More Shots
50.0%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.7%
Away Exceed xG
47.7%
Total xG Over 2.5
28.8%
High xG Variance
39.3%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
0.0
Total Cards
1.6
League Position
Nacional SP
8 Points
15
Grêmio Sãocarlense
26 Points
4
Paulista - A4