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Modena VS Padova

Modena logo

Modena

L. Zanimacchia 56'
1-2
Full Time
Padova logo

Padova

K. Lasagna 8'
C. Faedo 14'
Stadio Alberto Braglia Saturday, Feb 28, 2026 At 09:00 Est Andrea Calzavara, Italy

Match Events

Modena Modena
Padova Padova
5'
J. Harder
On: J. Harder Off: L. Crisetig
Substitution
8'
K. Lasagna
Assist: F. Di Mariano
14'
C. Faedo
Assist: C. Buonaiuto
28'
G. Beyuku
On: G. Beyuku Off: Y. Massolin
Substitution
44'
Cristian Buonaiuto
Yellow Card
Foul
51'
Yanis Massolin
Yellow Card
Foul
53'
G. Ambrosino
On: G. Ambrosino Off: E. Gliozzi
Substitution
54'
B. Nieling
On: B. Nieling Off: M. Cotali
Substitution
56'
L. Zanimacchia
Assist: E. Gliozzi
60'
C. Buonaiuto
On: C. Buonaiuto Off: L. Di Maggio
Substitution
68'
C. Pastina
On: C. Pastina Off: L. Villa
Substitution
68'
F. Di Mariano
On: F. Di Mariano Off: J. Silva
Substitution
68'
K. Lasagna
On: K. Lasagna Off: G. Caprari
Substitution
68'
K. Lasagna
On: K. Lasagna Off: G. Caprari
Substitution
68'
F. Di Mariano
On: F. Di Mariano Off: J. Silva
Substitution
73'
M. De Luca
On: M. De Luca Off: A. Imputato
Substitution
73'
F. Zampano
On: F. Zampano Off: G. Defrel
Substitution
73'
F. Zampano
On: F. Zampano Off: G. Defrel
Substitution
73'
M. De Luca
On: M. De Luca Off: A. Imputato
Substitution
74'
Mattia Fortin
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
89'
Steven Nador
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+1
Kevin Varas Marcillo
Yellow Card
Argument

Lineups

Modena Modena (3-5-2)

Starting XI

Padova Padova (4-4-2)

Starting XI
D
M
M. Fortin
M. Fortin #14
G
F
M
F. Sgarbi
F. Sgarbi #32
D
J. Harder
J. Harder #44
M
D
C. Faedo
C. Faedo #72
D
F

Match Statistics

Modena Modena
Padova Padova
60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
13 Fouls 13
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
1 Saves 4
461 Passes 318
382 Accurate Passes 239
83% Pass Accuracy 75%

Team Comparison

51.5
Overall Strength
44.3
55% Attacking Power 45%
57.6% Defensive Strength 42.4%
54.9% Current Form 45.1%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Modena Modena
Padova Padova
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
36% | 24%
Avg Total Goals
2.2 | 2.3

Cards Analysis

Modena 1.8/Game
67
3
0-15'
8
16-30'
7
31-45'
12
46-60'
11
61-75'
13
76-90'
19
Padova 2.2/Game
83
2
0-15'
3
16-30'
8
31-45'
10
46-60'
26
61-75'
22
76-90'
16

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Modena
15W 10D 0L | 49:37 | 1.41 ppg
Padova
12W 10D 0L | 39:49 | 1.21 ppg
2024/2025
Modena
10W 15D 0L | 48:50 | 1.18 ppg
Padova
0W 0D 0L | 1:3 | 0 ppg
2023/2024
Modena
10W 17D 0L | 41:47 | 1.24 ppg
Padova
21W 14D 0L | 55:28 | 2.03 ppg

Match Result

Home Win
Confidence: 37.2%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
67.4%

Both Teams Score

No
60.4%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Modena 37.2%
Draw 40.0%
Padova 22.8%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
67.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 11 Corners No 96.0% Good ✓ Correct
Over 5 Cards No 92.5% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 86.6% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 86.6% Good ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners No 86.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 85.5% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 85.5% Good ✓ Correct
Home More Shots Yes 80.0% Good ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners Yes 78.0% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 73.8% Good ✕ Wrong
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 67.4% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 2.5 Goals No 67.4% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 3 Cards No 66.7% Good ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score No 60.4% Fair ✕ Wrong
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals After 80' No 59.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 59.7% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 59.7% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 57.4% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals Both Halves No 57.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Half Time Result HT Draw 49.3% Low ✕ Wrong
Match Result Draw 40.0% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 0-0 20.2% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
86.6%
Over 1.5
59.7%
Over 2.5
32.6%
Over 3.5
14.5%
Under 0.5
13.4%
Under 1.5
40.3%
Under 2.5
67.4%
Under 3.5
85.5%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
29.4%
HT Draw
49.3%
HT Away Win
21.3%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
57.4%
Goals After 80'
40.1%
Goals Both Halves
43.0%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
13.8%
Over 11 Corners
4.0%
Home Most Corners
78.0%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
33.3%
Over 5 Cards
7.5%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.1%
Home More Shots
80.0%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
48.6%
Away Exceed xG
47.5%
Total xG Over 2.5
21.7%
High xG Variance
38.0%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
6.7
Total Cards
2.9

Frequently Asked Questions about Modena vs Padova