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Milton Keynes Dons VS Newport County

Milton Keynes Dons logo

Milton Keynes Dons

A. Collins 1'
1-0
Full Time
Stadium mk Saturday, Feb 14, 2026 At 10:00 Est H. Blair

Match Events

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Newport County Newport County
1'
A. Collins
22'
M. Spellman
Yellow Card
Unsportsmanlike Conduct
38'
C. Brennan
On: C. Brennan Off: R. Delaney
Substitution
46'
C. Jarvis
On: C. Jarvis Off: H. Biggins
Substitution
46'
J. Crole
On: J. Crole Off: N. Opoku
Substitution
63'
C. Paterson
Assist: C. Paterson
Missed Penalty
68'
C. Paterson
On: C. Paterson Off: R. Hepburn-Murphy
Substitution
77'
A. Collins
On: A. Collins Off: J. Matete
Substitution
79'
S. Sprangler
Yellow Card
Foul
86'
G. Garner
On: G. Garner Off: B. Lloyd
Substitution
86'
B. Kamwa
On: B. Kamwa Off: C. Evans
Substitution
90'+5
L. Kelly
On: L. Kelly Off: D. Crowley
Substitution
90'+10
R. Hepburn-Murphy
Yellow Card
Foul

Match Statistics

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Newport County Newport County
53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 0
5 Blocked Shots 0
3 Fouls 9
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
3 Offsides 2
1 Saves 8
389 Passes 350
253 Accurate Passes 240
65% Pass Accuracy 69%

Team Comparison

59.9
Overall Strength
38.9
64.2% Attacking Power 35.8%
63.1% Defensive Strength 36.9%
66.7% Current Form 33.3%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Newport County Newport County
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
33% | 15%
Avg Total Goals
2.9 | 2.7

Cards Analysis

Milton Keynes Dons 1.8/Game
77
4
0-15'
5
16-30'
9
31-45'
12
46-60'
22
61-75'
20
76-90'
13
Newport County 1.8/Game
78
3
0-15'
7
16-30'
7
31-45'
11
46-60'
24
61-75'
17
76-90'
15

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Milton Keynes Dons
24W 14D 0L | 86:45 | 1.87 ppg
Newport County
12W 7D 0L | 48:77 | 0.93 ppg
2024/2025
Milton Keynes Dons
14W 10D 0L | 52:66 | 1.13 ppg
Newport County
13W 10D 0L | 52:76 | 1.07 ppg
2023/2024
Milton Keynes Dons
23W 9D 0L | 84:76 | 1.63 ppg
Newport County
16W 7D 0L | 62:76 | 1.2 ppg

Match Result

Home Win
Confidence: 73.1%

Goals Prediction

Over 2.5
58.4%

Both Teams Score

Yes
56.1%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Milton Keynes Dons 73.1%
Draw 20.5%
Newport County 6.3%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
63.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 95.9% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 94.4% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 94.4% Good ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 94.1% Good ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners No 81.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 79.2% Good ✕ Wrong
Under 1.5 Goals No 79.2% Good ✕ Wrong
Goal Before 15' No 79.2% Good ✕ Wrong
Goals After 80' No 76.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards No 76.0% Good ✓ Correct
Match Result Home Win 73.1% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 70.7% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 65.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 65.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Red Card No 65.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners Yes 64.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals Both Halves Yes 61.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 58.4% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals No 58.4% Fair ✕ Wrong
Both Teams Score Yes 56.1% Fair ✕ Wrong
Home More Shots No 55.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Half Time Result HT Draw 51.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 1-0 20.0% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
94.4%
Over 1.5
79.2%
Over 2.5
58.4%
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 0.5
5.6%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Under 2.5
41.6%
Under 3.5
65.6%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
27.7%
HT Draw
51.6%
HT Away Win
20.8%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
70.7%
Goals After 80'
23.2%
Goals Both Halves
61.6%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
18.2%
Over 11 Corners
5.9%
Home Most Corners
64.2%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
24.0%
Over 5 Cards
4.1%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.1%
Home More Shots
45.0%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
50.6%
Away Exceed xG
46.9%
Total xG Over 2.5
29.1%
High xG Variance
39.4%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
7.1
Total Cards
2.5

Frequently Asked Questions about Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County