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Milton Keynes Dons VS Chesterfield

Milton Keynes Dons logo

Milton Keynes Dons

C. Paterson 29'
R. Hepburn-Murphy 44'
2-2
Full Time
Chesterfield logo

Chesterfield

S. Curtis 67'
W. Grigg 90'
Stadium mk Sunday, Jan 4, 2026 At 07:00 Est

Match Events

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Chesterfield Chesterfield
6'
Adam Lewis
Yellow Card
Foul
26'
Aaron Nemane
Yellow Card
Foul
29'
C. Paterson
Assist: A. Nemane
31'
J. Donacien
On: J. Donacien Off: T. Naylor
Substitution
44'
R. Hepburn-Murphy
Assist: J. Mellish
46'
A. Lewis
On: A. Lewis Off: D. Duffy
Substitution
54'
Jack Sanders
Yellow Card
Foul
58'
Jon Mellish
Yellow Card
Foul
66'
L. Bonis
On: L. Bonis Off: W. Grigg
Substitution
66'
R. Darcy
On: R. Darcy Off: F. Ladapo
Substitution
67'
S. Curtis
Assist: L. Mandeville
70'
D. Crowley
On: D. Crowley Off: K. Thompson-Sommers
Substitution
71'
R. Hepburn-Murphy
On: R. Hepburn-Murphy Off: S. Hogan
Substitution
76'
J. Mellish
On: J. Mellish Off: A. Collins
Substitution
76'
S. Curtis
On: S. Curtis Off: V. Daley-Campbell
Substitution
79'
Liam Kelly
Yellow Card
Foul
90'
W. Grigg
Assist: L. Mandeville
90'+4
Will Grigg
Yellow Card

Lineups

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons (3-5-2)

Starting XI

Chesterfield Chesterfield (4-2-3-1)

Starting XI

Match Statistics

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Chesterfield Chesterfield
33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Blocked Shots 2
14 Fouls 7
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
0 Offsides 1
1 Saves 1
261 Passes 538
176 Accurate Passes 447
67% Pass Accuracy 83%

Team Comparison

59.9
Overall Strength
52.3
55.8% Attacking Power 44.2%
54.8% Defensive Strength 45.2%
54.4% Current Form 45.6%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Chesterfield Chesterfield
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
33% | 31%
Avg Total Goals
2.9 | 2.7

Cards Analysis

Milton Keynes Dons 1.8/Game
77
4
0-15'
5
16-30'
9
31-45'
12
46-60'
22
61-75'
20
76-90'
13
Chesterfield 1.6/Game
74
2
0-15'
6
16-30'
10
31-45'
16
46-60'
19
61-75'
12
76-90'
13

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Milton Keynes Dons
24W 14D 0L | 86:45 | 1.87 ppg
Chesterfield
21W 17D 0L | 71:57 | 1.67 ppg
2024/2025
Milton Keynes Dons
14W 10D 0L | 52:66 | 1.13 ppg
Chesterfield
19W 13D 0L | 74:58 | 1.46 ppg
2023/2024
Milton Keynes Dons
23W 9D 0L | 84:76 | 1.63 ppg
Chesterfield
3W 0D 0L | 8:2 | 2.25 ppg

Match Result

Home Win
Confidence: 68.1%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
63.3%

Both Teams Score

No
55.5%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Milton Keynes Dons 68.1%
Draw 22.7%
Chesterfield 9.3%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
57.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 8 Shots on Target No 99.5% Good N/A
Over 5 Cards No 95.2% Good N/A
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 88.6% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 88.6% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 80.6% Good ✕ Wrong
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 80.6% Good ✕ Wrong
Goal Before 15' No 74.8% Good N/A
Over 3 Cards No 74.0% Good N/A
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good N/A
Over 11 Corners No 71.8% Good N/A
Goals After 80' No 71.1% Good N/A
Match Result Home Win 68.1% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 65.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 65.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Red Card No 65.0% Fair N/A
Home More Shots No 63.4% Fair N/A
Over 2.5 Goals No 63.3% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 63.3% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals in First 30' Yes 61.7% Fair N/A
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair N/A
Both Teams Score No 55.5% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 9 Corners Yes 51.8% Fair N/A
Goals Both Halves No 51.2% Fair N/A
Home Most Corners No 51.2% Fair N/A
Half Time Result HT Draw 50.3% Fair ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 1-0 21.4% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
88.6%
Over 1.5
65.6%
Over 2.5
36.7%
Over 3.5
19.4%
Under 0.5
11.4%
Under 1.5
34.4%
Under 2.5
63.3%
Under 3.5
80.6%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
27.0%
HT Draw
50.3%
HT Away Win
22.8%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
28.9%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
51.8%
Over 11 Corners
28.2%
Home Most Corners
48.8%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
26.0%
Over 5 Cards
4.8%
Red Card
35.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.5%
Home More Shots
36.6%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
49.3%
Away Exceed xG
46.7%
Total xG Over 2.5
21.4%
High xG Variance
38.0%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
9.8
Total Cards
2.6

Frequently Asked Questions about Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield