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Mil-Muğan VS Qarabag

0-1
Full Time
Qarabag logo

Qarabag

M. Qurbanly 79'
Saatli Rayon Olimpiya Idman Kompleksi Stadionu Saturday, Feb 14, 2026 At 05:30 Est

Match Events

Mil-Muğan Mil-Muğan
Qarabag Qarabag
47'
D. Dos Santos
Yellow Card
60'
I. Inqilably
On: I. Inqilably Off: D. Cardoso
Substitution
60'
M. Tahirov
On: M. Tahirov Off: H. Isayev
Substitution
65'
E. Cafarquliyev
On: E. Cafarquliyev Off: T. Bayramov
Substitution
65'
Leandro Andrade
On: Leandro Andrade Off: M. Qurbanly
Substitution
65'
J. Montiel
On: J. Montiel Off: Kady Borges
Substitution
72'
Kady Borges
Red Card
79'
M. Qurbanly
84'
D. Dos Santos
Yellow Card
84'
D. Dos Santos
Red Card
85'
A. Zoubir
On: A. Zoubir Off: E. Addai
Substitution
85'
C. Duran
On: C. Duran Off: Dani Bolt
Substitution
88'
R. Viegas
On: R. Viegas Off: E. Rahimzada
Substitution
90'
H. Isayev
Yellow Card
90'+2
M. Jankovic
Yellow Card

Lineups

No lineups available for this match

Match Statistics

Match statistics not available

Statistics are not available for this match yet.

Team Comparison

40.6
Overall Strength
67
25.3% Attacking Power 74.7%
40.3% Defensive Strength 59.7%
27.6% Current Form 72.4%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Mil-Muğan Mil-Muğan
Qarabag Qarabag
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
42% | 42%
Avg Total Goals
1.9 | 3

Cards Analysis

Mil-Muğan 1.8/Game
59
1
0-15'
5
16-30'
3
31-45'
12
46-60'
10
61-75'
17
76-90'
13
Qarabag 1.3/Game
41
1
0-15'
6
16-30'
1
31-45'
8
46-60'
8
61-75'
12
76-90'
7

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Mil-Muğan
8W 13D 0L | 24:40 | 1.12 ppg
Qarabag
21W 6D 0L | 71:27 | 2.09 ppg
2024/2025
Mil-Muğan
15W 7D 0L | 43:20 | 1.93 ppg
Qarabag
28W 5D 0L | 86:19 | 2.47 ppg
2023/2024
Mil-Muğan
13W 8D 0L | 38:21 | 1.74 ppg
Qarabag
26W 5D 0L | 97:37 | 2.31 ppg

Match Result

Away Win
Confidence: 63.3%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
60.1%

Both Teams Score

No
53.8%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Mil-Muğan 4.7%
Draw 32.0%
Qarabag 63.3%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
82.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 99.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 3 Cards No 92.8% Good ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 90.2% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 89.8% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 89.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 80.3% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 80.3% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 74.8% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Home More Shots No 70.0% Good N/A
Home Most Corners No 70.0% Good N/A
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 66.5% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 1.5 Goals No 66.5% Fair ✕ Wrong
Match Result Away Win 63.3% Good ✓ Correct
Goals After 80' No 62.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 61.7% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 60.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals No 60.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair N/A
Both Teams Score No 53.8% Fair ✓ Correct
Goals Both Halves No 51.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Half Time Result HT Draw 50.0% Fair ✓ Correct
Most Likely Score 0-1 14.6% Fair N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
26.8%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
23.2%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
37.8%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
0.1%
Over 11 Corners
0.1%
Home Most Corners
30.0%
Goal from Corner
19.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
7.2%
Over 5 Cards
0.5%
Red Card
9.8%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.1%
Home More Shots
30.0%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
48.3%
Away Exceed xG
51.1%
Total xG Over 2.5
39.6%
High xG Variance
41.4%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
2.0
Total Cards
1.6

Frequently Asked Questions about Mil-Muğan vs Qarabag