Middlesbrough VS Stoke City
Recent Form
Middlesbrough
D
L
?
D
D
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2026
Stoke City
VS
Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Stoke City
VS
Middlesbrough
Championship
bet365 Stadium
2025
Sep 30, 2025
Middlesbrough
VS
Stoke City
0 - 0
Middlesbrough
VS
Stoke City
Championship
Riverside Stadium
2025
Feb 25, 2025
Stoke City
VS
Middlesbrough
1 - 3
Stoke City
VS
Middlesbrough
Championship
bet365 Stadium
2024
Sep 28, 2024
Middlesbrough
VS
Stoke City
2 - 0
Middlesbrough
VS
Stoke City
Championship
Riverside Stadium
2024
Aug 27, 2024
Middlesbrough
VS
Stoke City
0 - 5
Middlesbrough
VS
Stoke City
League Cup
Riverside Stadium
2024
Match Events
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
6'
⇄
G. Edmundson
On: G. Edmundson
Off: M. K. Sene
Substitution
7'
⇄
G. Edmundson
On: G. Edmundson
Off: S. Silvera
Substitution
13'
Yellow Card
13'
Samuel Silvera
Yellow Card
Foul
32'
Tommy Conway
Yellow Card
Simulation
46'
⇄
L. Cisse
On: L. Cisse
Off: M. Manhoef
Substitution
46'
⇄
B. Pearson
On: B. Pearson
Off: T. Rigo
Substitution
46'
⇄
B. Pearson
On: B. Pearson
Off: T. Rigo
Substitution
46'
⇄
L. Cisse
On: L. Cisse
Off: M. Manhoef
Substitution
64'
⇄
A. Morris
On: A. Morris
Off: S. Hansen
Substitution
64'
⇄
D. Strelec
On: D. Strelec
Off: M. K. Sene
Substitution
65'
⇄
D. Strelec
On: D. Strelec
Off: M. K. Sene
Substitution
65'
⇄
A. Morris
On: A. Morris
Off: S. Hansen
Substitution
73'
⇄
R. Bozenik
On: R. Bozenik
Off: D. Mubama
Substitution
74'
⇄
R. Bozenik
On: R. Bozenik
Off: D. Mubama
Substitution
77'
⇄
B. Lawal
On: B. Lawal
Off: J. Tchamadeu
Substitution
81'
⇄
T. Conway
On: T. Conway
Off: A. Kante
Substitution
81'
⇄
S. Nypan
On: S. Nypan
Off: D. Fry
Substitution
82'
⇄
S. Nypan
On: S. Nypan
Off: D. Fry
Substitution
82'
⇄
T. Conway
On: T. Conway
Off: A. Kante
Substitution
Lineups
Middlesbrough
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
M. Targett
#3
A. Jones
#5
H. Hackney
#7
T. Conway
#9
L. Ayling
#12
D. Strelec
#13
A. Browne
#16
A. Morris
#18
S. Nypan
#19
G. Edmundson
#25
S. Brynn
#31
Substitutes
D
M
Stoke City
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
V. Johansson
#1
B. Pearson
#4
S. Thomas
#7
J. Bae
#10
R. Bozenik
#11
T. Seko
#12
B. Wilmot
#16
E. Bocat
#17
B. Lawal
#18
Bosun Lawal
#18
A. Phillips
#26
L. Cisse
#29
Substitutes
M
Match Statistics
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
55%
Possession
45%
12
Shots
18
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Blocked Shots
7
8
Fouls
5
5
Corners
8
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
5
Saves
4
489
Passes
384
422
Accurate Passes
324
86%
Pass Accuracy
84%
Team Comparison
54.4
Overall Strength
45.9
57.3%
Attacking Power
42.7%
54.4%
Defensive Strength
45.6%
57.9%
Current Form
42.1%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
29%
|
28%
Avg Total Goals
2.5
|
2.3
Cards Analysis
Middlesbrough
1.3/Game
63
1
0-15'
6
16-30'
7
31-45'
10
46-60'
10
61-75'
11
76-90'
20
Stoke City
1.9/Game
82
5
0-15'
4
16-30'
10
31-45'
12
46-60'
22
61-75'
12
76-90'
27
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Middlesbrough
22W 15D 0L
|
73:50
|
1.65 ppg
Stoke City
15W 10D 0L
|
51:56
|
1.2 ppg
2024/2025
Middlesbrough
18W 10D 0L
|
64:56
|
1.39 ppg
Stoke City
12W 15D 0L
|
45:62
|
1.11 ppg
2023/2024
Middlesbrough
20W 9D 0L
|
71:62
|
1.5 ppg
Stoke City
15W 11D 0L
|
49:60
|
1.22 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
54.7%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
64.2%
Both Teams Score
No
60.5%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Middlesbrough
54.7%
Draw
35.6%
Stoke City
9.7%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
68.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | No | 99.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 99.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 97.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 89.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 88.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 88.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 83.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 82.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 82.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 76.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 74.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | Yes | 74.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 64.3% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 64.3% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 64.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 64.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 63.4% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | No | 60.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | No | 58.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 58.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 57.9% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 56.3% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Match Result | Home Win | 54.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Most Likely Score | 1-0 | 16.0% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
88.8%
Over 1.5
64.3%
Over 2.5
35.8%
Over 3.5
17.9%
Under 0.5
11.2%
Under 1.5
35.7%
Under 2.5
64.2%
Under 3.5
82.1%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
26.8%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
23.2%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
57.9%
Goals After 80'
36.6%
Goals Both Halves
43.7%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
89.1%
Over 11 Corners
74.0%
Home Most Corners
58.0%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
16.8%
Over 5 Cards
2.2%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.5%
Over 25 Shots
0.5%
Over 8 On Target
76.8%
Home More Shots
41.4%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
51.2%
Away Exceed xG
47.8%
Total xG Over 2.5
37.5%
High xG Variance
41.0%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
14.0
Total Cards
2.1
League Position
Middlesbrough
80 Points
5
Stoke City
55 Points
17