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Middlesbrough VS Birmingham

Middlesbrough logo

Middlesbrough

D. Fry 17'
H. Hackney 45'
2-1
Full Time
Birmingham logo

Birmingham

D. Gray 29'
Riverside Stadium Saturday, Nov 8, 2025 At 10:00 Est Sam Allison, England

Match Events

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Birmingham Birmingham
4'
Paik Seung-Ho
On: Paik Seung-Ho Off: M. Leonard
Substitution
5'
Paik Seung-Ho
On: Paik Seung-Ho Off: M. Leonard
Substitution
17'
D. Fry
Assist: C. Brittain
25'
D. Fry
On: D. Fry Off: S. Silvera
Substitution
29'
D. Gray
30'
Yellow Card
30'
Luke Ayling
Yellow Card
Argument
45'
H. Hackney
Assist: A. Morris
57'
M. Ducksch
On: M. Ducksch Off: K. Furuhashi
Substitution
57'
D. Gray
On: D. Gray Off: K. Anderson
Substitution
57'
D. Gray
On: D. Gray Off: K. Anderson
Substitution
57'
M. Ducksch
On: M. Ducksch Off: K. Furuhashi
Substitution
60'
M. Targett
On: M. Targett Off: G. McCormick
Substitution
60'
M. Whittaker
On: M. Whittaker Off: M. K. Sene
Substitution
60'
R. McGree
On: R. McGree Off: S. Nypan
Substitution
61'
R. McGree
On: R. McGree Off: S. Nypan
Substitution
61'
M. Whittaker
On: M. Whittaker Off: M. K. Sene
Substitution
80'
P. Roberts
On: P. Roberts Off: L. Koumas
Substitution
80'
T. Iwata
On: T. Iwata Off: L. Dykes
Substitution
80'
T. Iwata
On: T. Iwata Off: L. Dykes
Substitution
80'
P. Roberts
On: P. Roberts Off: L. Koumas
Substitution
86'
T. Conway
On: T. Conway Off: D. Burgzorg
Substitution
90'+3
Yellow Card
90'+3
James Beadle
Yellow Card
Argument

Lineups

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough (4-2-3-1)

Starting XI
D
D. Fry
D. Fry #6
D
M
M
F
M
L. Ayling
L. Ayling #12
D
A. Browne
A. Browne #16
M
A. Morris
A. Morris #18
M
S. Brynn
S. Brynn #31
G

Birmingham Birmingham (4-2-3-1)

Starting XI
D
D
M
D. Gray
D. Gray #10
M
M
D
T. Iwata
T. Iwata #24
D
J. Beadle
J. Beadle #25
G
F

Match Statistics

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Birmingham Birmingham
43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Blocked Shots 3
9 Fouls 13
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
3 Offsides 3
4 Saves 2
353 Passes 454
272 Accurate Passes 371
77% Pass Accuracy 82%

Team Comparison

54.4
Overall Strength
48.2
54.6% Attacking Power 45.4%
54.4% Defensive Strength 45.6%
54.9% Current Form 45.1%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Birmingham Birmingham
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
29% | 22%
Avg Total Goals
2.5 | 2.4

Cards Analysis

Middlesbrough 1.3/Game
63
1
0-15'
6
16-30'
7
31-45'
10
46-60'
10
61-75'
11
76-90'
20
Birmingham 1.8/Game
79
4
0-15'
6
16-30'
12
31-45'
13
46-60'
18
61-75'
17
76-90'
17

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Middlesbrough
22W 15D 0L | 73:50 | 1.65 ppg
Birmingham
17W 13D 0L | 57:56 | 1.39 ppg
2024/2025
Middlesbrough
18W 10D 0L | 64:56 | 1.39 ppg
Birmingham
34W 9D 0L | 84:31 | 2.41 ppg
2023/2024
Middlesbrough
20W 9D 0L | 71:62 | 1.5 ppg
Birmingham
13W 11D 0L | 50:65 | 1.09 ppg

Match Result

Home Win
Confidence: 39.5%

Goals Prediction

Under 2.5
79.5%

Both Teams Score

No
72.1%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Middlesbrough 39.5%
Draw 27.5%
Birmingham 33.0%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
55.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 98.1% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 91.3% Good ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 91.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards No 84.5% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 81.0% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 81.0% Good ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals No 79.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals Yes 79.5% Good ✕ Wrong
Goal Before 15' No 79.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 9 Corners Yes 75.8% Good ✕ Wrong
Goals After 80' No 74.3% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score No 72.1% Good ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 70.0% Good ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners Yes 66.3% Good ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves No 66.1% Good ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 8 Shots on Target Yes 54.4% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners Yes 53.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Half Time Result HT Draw 51.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Home More Shots No 50.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals No 50.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 1.5 Goals Yes 50.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals in First 30' Yes 50.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Match Result Home Win 39.5% Low ✓ Correct
Most Likely Score 1-0 20.0% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
81.0%
Over 1.5
49.4%
Over 2.5
20.5%
Over 3.5
8.7%
Under 0.5
19.0%
Under 1.5
50.6%
Under 2.5
79.5%
Under 3.5
91.3%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
27.7%
HT Draw
51.6%
HT Away Win
20.8%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
50.2%
Goals After 80'
25.7%
Goals Both Halves
33.9%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
75.8%
Over 11 Corners
53.8%
Home Most Corners
66.3%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
15.5%
Over 5 Cards
1.9%
Red Card
30.0%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
54.4%
Home More Shots
49.4%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
49.3%
Away Exceed xG
47.1%
Total xG Over 2.5
23.2%
High xG Variance
38.3%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
12.0
Total Cards
2.1

League Position

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
80 Points 5
Birmingham Birmingham
64 Points 10

Frequently Asked Questions about Middlesbrough vs Birmingham