Luton VS Cardiff
Recent Form
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2026
Cardiff
VS
Luton
3 - 1
Cardiff
VS
Luton
League One
Cardiff City Stadium
2025
Aug 23, 2025
Luton
VS
Cardiff
0 - 1
Luton
VS
Cardiff
League One
Kenilworth Road
2025
Mar 11, 2025
Cardiff
VS
Luton
1 - 2
Cardiff
VS
Luton
Championship
Cardiff City Stadium
2024
Nov 6, 2024
Luton
VS
Cardiff
1 - 0
Luton
VS
Cardiff
Championship
Kenilworth Road
2024
Jan 31, 2023
Luton
VS
Cardiff
1 - 0
Luton
VS
Cardiff
Championship
Kenilworth Road
2022
Match Events
Luton
Cardiff
45'+1
Joe Ralls
Yellow Card
Foul
49'
Alfie Doughty
Yellow Card
Foul
58'
Elijah Adebayo
Yellow Card
Argument
69'
⇄
C. Woodrow
On: C. Woodrow
Off: L. Berry
Substitution
69'
⇄
C. Drameh
On: C. Drameh
Off: F. Onyedinma
Substitution
77'
⇄
M. Harris
On: M. Harris
Off: J. Philogene
Substitution
77'
⇄
J. Ralls
On: J. Ralls
Off: R. Colwill
Substitution
88'
⚽
E. Adebayo
90'+5
Carlton Morris
Yellow Card
Argument
90'+5
Mark McGuinness
Yellow Card
Argument
Lineups
Luton
(3-4-1-2)
Starting XI
C. Drameh
#2
T. Lockyer
#4
C. Morris
#9
C. Woodrow
#10
E. Adebayo
#11
R. Burke
#16
P. Mpanzu
#17
J. Clark
#18
A. Bell
#29
E. Horvath
#34
A. Doughty
#45
Substitutes
Cardiff
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
R. Allsop
#1
D
R. Wintle
#6
J. Ralls
#8
S. Ojo
#10
R. Sawyers
#19
C. Kipré
#23
J. Simpson
#26
M. Harris
#29
P. Ng
#38
C. Robinson
#47
Substitutes
Match Statistics
Luton
Cardiff
64%
Possession
36%
14
Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Blocked Shots
2
12
Fouls
7
13
Corners
2
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
1
4
Saves
3
449
Passes
275
330
Accurate Passes
158
73%
Pass Accuracy
57%
Team Comparison
54.2
Overall Strength
42.6
58.3%
Attacking Power
41.7%
59.5%
Defensive Strength
40.5%
61.4%
Current Form
38.6%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Luton
Cardiff
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
43%
|
26%
Avg Total Goals
2.1
|
2.2
Cards Analysis
Luton
1.9/Game
89
4
16-30'
11
31-45'
14
46-60'
16
61-75'
25
76-90'
27
Cardiff
1.7/Game
76
3
0-15'
4
16-30'
5
31-45'
15
46-60'
22
61-75'
22
76-90'
11
Season Comparison
2022/2023
Luton
22W 18D 0L
|
61:42
|
1.71 ppg
Cardiff
13W 10D 0L
|
41:58
|
1.07 ppg
2021/2022
Luton
21W 13D 0L
|
64:57
|
1.58 ppg
Cardiff
15W 8D 0L
|
50:68
|
1.15 ppg
2020/2021
Luton
17W 11D 0L
|
41:52
|
1.35 ppg
Cardiff
18W 14D 0L
|
66:49
|
1.48 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
34.5%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
56.6%
Both Teams Score
Yes
58.3%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Luton
34.5%
Draw
33.0%
Cardiff
32.5%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 94.8% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 94.8% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 79.3% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 79.3% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 71.7% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 69.0% | Good |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 65.8% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 65.8% | Fair |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 65.5% | Good |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 64.5% | Fair |
| Goals After 80' | No | 63.6% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 59.1% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 58.6% | Fair |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 58.3% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 57.5% | Fair |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 56.6% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 56.6% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.0% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 34.5% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 11.1% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
94.8%
Over 1.5
79.3%
Over 2.5
56.6%
Over 3.5
34.2%
Under 0.5
5.2%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Under 2.5
43.5%
Under 3.5
65.8%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.5%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
20.5%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
69.0%
Goals After 80'
36.4%
Goals Both Halves
59.1%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
58.6%
Over 11 Corners
34.5%
Home Most Corners
64.5%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
28.3%
Home More Shots
57.5%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
52.5%
Away Exceed xG
50.3%
Total xG Over 2.5
56.6%
High xG Variance
44.8%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.4
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Luton
80 Points
3
Cardiff
49 Points
21