Independiente del Valle VS El Nacional
Recent Form
Independiente del Valle
W
W
W
W
W
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2025
Independiente del Valle
VS
El Nacional
1 - 0
Independiente del Valle
VS
El Nacional
Liga Pro
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
2025
Apr 14, 2025
El Nacional
VS
Independiente del Valle
1 - 3
El Nacional
VS
Independiente del Valle
Liga Pro
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
2025
Nov 27, 2024
Independiente del Valle
VS
El Nacional
0 - 1
Independiente del Valle
VS
El Nacional
Copa Ecuador
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
2023
Nov 3, 2024
Independiente del Valle
VS
El Nacional
2 - 0
Independiente del Valle
VS
El Nacional
Liga Pro
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
2024
May 12, 2024
El Nacional
VS
Independiente del Valle
1 - 2
El Nacional
VS
Independiente del Valle
Liga Pro
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
2024
Match Events
Independiente del Valle
El Nacional
44'
B. Hernandez
Yellow Card
45'+1
R. Briones
Yellow Card
50'
⚽
P. Mercado
54'
J. D. Mejia Moreira
Yellow Card
59'
⇄
R. Briones
On: R. Briones
Off: J. P. Arroyo
Substitution
59'
⇄
B. Hernandez
On: B. Hernandez
Off: F. Borja
Substitution
67'
⇄
J. D. Mejia Moreira
On: J. D. Mejia Moreira
Off: J. Guisamano
Substitution
72'
⇄
C. Spinelli
On: C. Spinelli
Off: M. Hoyos
Substitution
73'
⇄
Cazares
On: Cazares
Off: D. Guagua
Substitution
76'
A. Bedoya
Yellow Card
85'
J. P. Arroyo
Yellow Card
89'
⇄
J. Borja
On: J. Borja
Off: J. Maya
Substitution
90'+1
⇄
A. Rodriguez
On: A. Rodriguez
Off: E. Pata
Substitution
Lineups
Independiente del Valle
(4-1-4-1)
Starting XI
D
M
M
Matías Fernández
#13
Mateo Carabajal
#14
Gustavo Cortez
#15
Ronald Briones
#16
Arón Rodríguez
#17
Guido Villar
#22
Juan Cazares
#26
Claudio Spinelli
#77
Substitutes
El Nacional
(5-4-1)
Starting XI
D
José Flor
#5
Jonathan Borja
#10
David Cabezas
#12
Edison Caicedo
#13
Adrian Cela
#15
Charles Vélez
#17
D
Jeremy Mejia
#55
Bryan Hernández
#77
Djorkaeff Reasco
#99
Substitutes
Match Statistics
Independiente del Valle
El Nacional
65%
Possession
35%
10
Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
2
4
Blocked Shots
1
9
Fouls
10
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Offsides
2
2
Saves
1
458
Passes
244
398
Accurate Passes
183
87%
Pass Accuracy
75%
Team Comparison
62.3
Overall Strength
40.5
59.8%
Attacking Power
40.2%
69.6%
Defensive Strength
30.4%
65.1%
Current Form
34.9%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Independiente del Valle
El Nacional
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
38%
|
21%
Avg Total Goals
2.5
|
2.8
Cards Analysis
Independiente del Valle
1.7/Game
63
3
0-15'
4
16-30'
5
31-45'
7
46-60'
19
61-75'
11
76-90'
20
El Nacional
2.3/Game
77
11
0-15'
3
16-30'
13
31-45'
15
46-60'
18
61-75'
12
76-90'
27
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Independiente del Valle
23W 13D 0L
|
67:30
|
2.05 ppg
El Nacional
12W 9D 0L
|
44:67
|
1.15 ppg
2024/2025
Independiente del Valle
20W 8D 0L
|
57:25
|
2.13 ppg
El Nacional
13W 4D 0L
|
33:36
|
1.43 ppg
2023/2024
Independiente del Valle
17W 6D 0L
|
50:31
|
1.78 ppg
El Nacional
15W 8D 0L
|
57:44
|
1.77 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
50.4%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
60.1%
Both Teams Score
No
53.8%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Independiente del Valle
50.4%
Draw
34.6%
El Nacional
15.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
92.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 89.8% | Good | N/A |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 80.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 80.3% | Good | N/A |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 66.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 66.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 66.1% | Good | N/A |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 65.9% | Good | N/A |
| Goals After 80' | No | 64.8% | Fair | N/A |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 64.8% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 62.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 60.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 60.1% | Fair | N/A |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Both Teams Score | No | 53.8% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.2% | Fair | N/A |
| Match Result | Home Win | 50.4% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 13.3% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.8%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
20.2%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
35.2%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
61.7%
Over 11 Corners
37.6%
Home Most Corners
65.9%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.2%
Over 25 Shots
0.2%
Over 8 On Target
66.1%
Home More Shots
64.8%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.9%
Away Exceed xG
49.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
39.9%
High xG Variance
41.4%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.6
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Independiente del Valle
82 Points
1
El Nacional
36 Points
5