Heerenveen VS Excelsior
Recent Form
Heerenveen
D
W
W
L
D
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2026
Excelsior
VS
Heerenveen
1 - 2
Excelsior
VS
Heerenveen
Eredivisie
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
2025
Oct 4, 2025
Heerenveen
VS
Excelsior
2 - 1
Heerenveen
VS
Excelsior
Eredivisie
Abe Lenstra Stadion
2025
Jan 19, 2024
Excelsior
VS
Heerenveen
3 - 0
Excelsior
VS
Heerenveen
Eredivisie
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
2023
Sep 23, 2023
Heerenveen
VS
Excelsior
0 - 3
Heerenveen
VS
Excelsior
Eredivisie
Abe Lenstra Stadion
2023
May 13, 2023
Heerenveen
VS
Excelsior
0 - 0
Heerenveen
VS
Excelsior
Eredivisie
Abe Lenstra Stadion
2022
Match Events
Heerenveen
Excelsior
11'
⚽
I. Yegoian
59'
⇄
S. Wlodarczyk
On: S. Wlodarczyk
Off: M. van Duinen
Substitution
59'
⇄
D. Sanches Fernandes
On: D. Sanches Fernandes
Off: S. Mitrovic
Substitution
59'
⇄
D. Sanches Fernandes
On: D. Sanches Fernandes
Off: S. Mitrovic
Substitution
59'
⇄
S. Wlodarczyk
On: S. Wlodarczyk
Off: M. van Duinen
Substitution
65'
Vasilios Zagaritis
Yellow Card
Foul
71'
⇄
N. Naujoks
On: N. Naujoks
Off: C. Nadje
Substitution
72'
⇄
M. Rivera
On: M. Rivera
Off: V. Sejk
Substitution
75'
Chris-Kévin Nadje
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
81'
Gyan de Regt
Yellow Card
Argument
87'
⇄
M. Linday
On: M. Linday
Off: S. Kersten
Substitution
87'
⇄
V. Zagaritis
On: V. Zagaritis
Off: H. Petrov
Substitution
88'
A. Carlen
Yellow Card
Holding
88'
Mike van Duinen
Yellow Card
Argument
89'
⚽
D. Vente
Penalty
90'
⚽
S. Kersten
Assist: L. Brouwers
90'+5
Václav Sejk
Yellow Card
Argument
90'+6
⇄
O. Braude
On: O. Braude
Off: M. Egbring
Substitution
Lineups
Heerenveen
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
M. Willemsen
#3
D
M. Rivera
#7
L. Brouwers
#8
D. Vente
#9
R. Meerveld
#10
M. Linday
#16
V. Zagaritis
#19
J. Trenskow
#20
B. Klaverboer
#22
O. Braude
#45
Substitutes
F
D
M
Excelsior
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
G
D
R. Meissen
#3
C. Widell
#4
A. Carlen
#6
F
N. Naujoks
#10
G. de Regt
#11
A. Zagre
#12
I. Yegoian
#23
M
Substitutes
F
M
Match Statistics
Heerenveen
Excelsior
67%
Possession
33%
19
Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
2
5
Blocked Shots
5
6
Fouls
17
7
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Offsides
0
1
Saves
2
593
Passes
305
505
Accurate Passes
208
85%
Pass Accuracy
68%
Team Comparison
48.6
Overall Strength
41.8
57.1%
Attacking Power
42.9%
50.7%
Defensive Strength
49.3%
57.6%
Current Form
42.4%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
14%
|
18%
Avg Total Goals
3.3
|
2.9
Cards Analysis
Heerenveen
1.3/Game
44
1
0-15'
4
16-30'
3
31-45'
8
46-60'
8
61-75'
11
76-90'
11
Excelsior
1.3/Game
42
3
0-15'
2
16-30'
6
31-45'
3
46-60'
7
61-75'
12
76-90'
15
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Heerenveen
14W 9D 0L
|
59:56
|
1.46 ppg
Excelsior
10W 8D 0L
|
43:56
|
1.12 ppg
2024/2025
Heerenveen
12W 7D 0L
|
43:61
|
1.23 ppg
Excelsior
22W 8D 0L
|
74:38
|
1.95 ppg
2023/2024
Heerenveen
10W 7D 0L
|
53:70
|
1.09 ppg
Excelsior
9W 11D 0L
|
65:82
|
1 ppg
Match Result
Draw
Confidence:
44.4%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
71.6%
Both Teams Score
Yes
60.3%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Heerenveen
37.6%
Draw
44.4%
Excelsior
18.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
61.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5 Cards | No | 98.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 96.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 88.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 88.7% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 87.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 83.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 76.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 72.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 71.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 69.4% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Red Card | No | 67.4% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 66.9% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 65.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 63.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 60.3% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 55.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 54.4% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 3.5 Goals | No | 51.8% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3.5 Goals | Yes | 51.2% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 51.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Draw | 44.4% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 2-1 | 9.0% | Low | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
96.6%
Over 1.5
87.9%
Over 2.5
71.6%
Over 3.5
51.2%
Under 0.5
2.3%
Under 1.5
11.1%
Under 2.5
27.5%
Under 3.5
48.2%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.6%
HT Draw
51.0%
HT Away Win
21.4%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
76.1%
Goals After 80'
33.1%
Goals Both Halves
69.4%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
36.4%
Over 11 Corners
16.3%
Home Most Corners
65.2%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
11.3%
Over 5 Cards
1.1%
Red Card
32.6%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
54.4%
Home More Shots
55.7%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
57.4%
Away Exceed xG
49.4%
Total xG Over 2.5
72.5%
High xG Variance
48.8%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
8.6
Total Cards
1.8
League Position
Heerenveen
51 Points
8
Excelsior
38 Points
13