FSV Mainz 05 VS RB Leipzig
Recent Form
FSV Mainz 05
W
W
W
L
W
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2026
RB Leipzig
VS
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
VS
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga
Leipzig Stadium
2025
Sep 13, 2025
FSV Mainz 05
VS
RB Leipzig
0 - 1
FSV Mainz 05
VS
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga
MEWA ARENA
2025
Mar 1, 2025
RB Leipzig
VS
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
VS
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga
Leipzig Stadium
2024
Oct 19, 2024
FSV Mainz 05
VS
RB Leipzig
0 - 2
FSV Mainz 05
VS
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga
MEWA ARENA
2024
Mar 30, 2024
RB Leipzig
VS
FSV Mainz 05
0 - 0
RB Leipzig
VS
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga
Leipzig Stadium
2023
Match Events
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
7'
Stefan Bell
Yellow Card
Foul
15'
⇄
S. Bell
On: S. Bell
Off: A. Hanche-Olsen
Substitution
32'
⇄
X. Schlager
On: X. Schlager
Off: E. Banzuzi
Substitution
40'
⚽
J. Bakayoko
Assist: E. Banzuzi
65'
⇄
W. Boving
On: W. Boving
Off: A. Sieb
Substitution
66'
⇄
J. Bakayoko
On: J. Bakayoko
Off: C. Harder
Substitution
66'
⇄
A. Nusa
On: A. Nusa
Off: Y. Diomande
Substitution
75'
⇄
Phillipp Mwene
On: Phillipp Mwene
Off: Nikolas Veratschnig
Substitution
75'
⇄
A. Nordin
On: A. Nordin
Off: S. Kawasaki
Substitution
75'
⇄
Anthony Caci
On: Anthony Caci
Off: Silvan Widmer
Substitution
75'
⇄
A. Caci
On: A. Caci
Off: S. Widmer
Substitution
75'
⇄
P. Mwene
On: P. Mwene
Off: N. Veratschnig
Substitution
90'+3
⇄
C. Baumgartner
On: C. Baumgartner
Off: K. Kampl
Substitution
90'+3
⇄
Romulo Cardoso
On: Romulo Cardoso
Off: A. Ouedraogo
Substitution
90'+3
B. Henriksen
Yellow Card
90'+3
⇄
Romulo Cardoso
On: Romulo Cardoso
Off: A. Ouedraogo
Substitution
90'+3
⇄
C. Baumgartner
On: C. Baumgartner
Off: K. Kampl
Substitution
Lineups
FSV Mainz 05
(3-4-2-1)
Starting XI
Substitutes
G
F
RB Leipzig
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
P. Gulacsi
#1
W. Orban
#4
A. Nusa
#7
J. Bakayoko
#9
N. Seiwald
#13
C. Baumgartner
#14
R. Baku
#17
D. Raum
#22
C. Lukeba
#23
X. Schlager
#24
Romulo Cardoso
#40
Substitutes
M
Match Statistics
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
56%
Possession
44%
13
Shots
19
2
Shots on Target
3
4
Blocked Shots
6
12
Fouls
11
3
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
2
Saves
2
451
Passes
361
335
Accurate Passes
259
74%
Pass Accuracy
72%
Team Comparison
42.9
Overall Strength
58.4
40%
Attacking Power
60%
47%
Defensive Strength
53%
33.3%
Current Form
66.7%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
12%
|
32%
Avg Total Goals
2.9
|
3.3
Cards Analysis
FSV Mainz 05
1.7/Game
54
5
0-15'
6
16-30'
6
31-45'
10
46-60'
14
61-75'
14
76-90'
9
RB Leipzig
1.3/Game
45
0
0-15'
3
16-30'
5
31-45'
13
46-60'
7
61-75'
7
76-90'
10
Season Comparison
2025/2026
FSV Mainz 05
10W 10D 0L
|
44:53
|
1.18 ppg
RB Leipzig
20W 5D 0L
|
66:47
|
1.91 ppg
2024/2025
FSV Mainz 05
14W 10D 0L
|
55:43
|
1.53 ppg
RB Leipzig
13W 12D 0L
|
53:48
|
1.5 ppg
2023/2024
FSV Mainz 05
7W 14D 0L
|
39:51
|
1.03 ppg
RB Leipzig
19W 8D 0L
|
77:39
|
1.91 ppg
Match Result
Draw
Confidence:
42.4%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
68.2%
Both Teams Score
Yes
61.4%
Match Outcome Probabilities
FSV Mainz 05
29.3%
Draw
42.4%
RB Leipzig
28.3%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
42.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | No | 99.8% | Good | N/A |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 99.8% | Good | N/A |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.0% | Good | N/A |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 97.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 87.6% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 86.6% | Good | N/A |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 86.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 71.7% | Good | N/A |
| Over 11 Corners | Yes | 71.4% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 68.3% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 68.2% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 67.8% | Good | N/A |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 63.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 61.4% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 60.6% | Fair | N/A |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals After 80' | No | 56.4% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 53.3% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 53.2% | Fair | N/A |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 50.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 47.2% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Draw | 42.4% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 2-1 | 9.6% | Low | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
97.0%
Over 1.5
86.5%
Over 2.5
68.2%
Over 3.5
46.7%
Under 0.5
3.0%
Under 1.5
13.4%
Under 2.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
53.2%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.0%
HT Draw
47.2%
HT Away Win
23.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
71.7%
Goals After 80'
43.6%
Goals Both Halves
63.0%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
87.6%
Over 11 Corners
71.4%
Home Most Corners
60.6%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.2%
Over 25 Shots
0.2%
Over 8 On Target
67.8%
Home More Shots
50.5%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
56.0%
Away Exceed xG
49.7%
Total xG Over 2.5
68.3%
High xG Variance
47.6%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
13.7
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
FSV Mainz 05
40 Points
10
RB Leipzig
65 Points
3