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FSV Mainz 05 VS Hamburger SV

FSV Mainz 05 logo

FSV Mainz 05

N. Amiri 42'
1-1
Full Time
Hamburger SV logo

Hamburger SV

F. Vieira 64'
MEWA ARENA Friday, Feb 20, 2026 At 14:30 Est Robin Braun, Germany

Match Events

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
12'
Silas
Yellow Card
Foul
34'
Miro Muheim
Yellow Card
Foul
42'
N. Amiri
Assist: D. da Costa
45'+1
Dominik Kohr
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
Silas
On: Silas Off: S. Becker
Substitution
58'
Nicolai Remberg
Yellow Card
Foul
58'
D. Kohr
On: D. Kohr Off: N. Veratschnig
Substitution
59'
D. Kohr
On: D. Kohr Off: N. Veratschnig
Substitution
64'
F. Vieira
65'
R. Glatzel
On: R. Glatzel Off: Y. Poulsen
Substitution
65'
B. Jatta
On: B. Jatta Off: W. Mikelbrencis
Substitution
65'
B. Jatta
On: B. Jatta Off: W. Mikelbrencis
Substitution
65'
R. Glatzel
On: R. Glatzel Off: Y. Poulsen
Substitution
76'
P. Otele
On: P. Otele Off: R. Philippe
Substitution
86'
Lee Jae-Sung
On: Lee Jae-Sung Off: P. Nebel
Substitution
87'
Lee Jae-Sung
On: Lee Jae-Sung Off: P. Nebel
Substitution
87'
R. Konigsdorffer
On: R. Konigsdorffer Off: D. Elfadli
Substitution
88'
M. Muheim
On: M. Muheim Off: G. Gocholeishvili
Substitution
90'
Kacper Potulski
Yellow Card
Foul

Lineups

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 (3-5-2)

Starting XI
M
D
K. Sano
K. Sano #6
M
N. Amiri
N. Amiri #10
M
P. Tietz
P. Tietz #20
F
M
Silas
Silas #26
F
D. Kohr
D. Kohr #31
D
D. Batz
D. Batz #33
G
D

Hamburger SV Hamburger SV (3-4-2-1)

Starting XI

Match Statistics

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Blocked Shots 2
16 Fouls 13
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
2 Offsides 1
4 Saves 2
315 Passes 406
232 Accurate Passes 337
74% Pass Accuracy 83%

Team Comparison

42.9
Overall Strength
40.9
52.4% Attacking Power 47.6%
50.5% Defensive Strength 49.5%
52.6% Current Form 47.4%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
12% | 18%
Avg Total Goals
2.9 | 2.8

Cards Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 1.7/Game
54
5
0-15'
6
16-30'
6
31-45'
10
46-60'
14
61-75'
14
76-90'
9
Hamburger SV 2.2/Game
68
7
0-15'
5
16-30'
9
31-45'
6
46-60'
13
61-75'
17
76-90'
25

Season Comparison

2025/2026
FSV Mainz 05
10W 10D 0L | 44:53 | 1.18 ppg
Hamburger SV
9W 11D 0L | 40:54 | 1.12 ppg
2024/2025
FSV Mainz 05
14W 10D 0L | 55:43 | 1.53 ppg
Hamburger SV
16W 11D 0L | 78:44 | 1.74 ppg
2023/2024
FSV Mainz 05
7W 14D 0L | 39:51 | 1.03 ppg
Hamburger SV
17W 7D 0L | 64:44 | 1.71 ppg

Match Result

Draw
Confidence: 22.6%

Goals Prediction

Over 2.5
59.9%

Both Teams Score

Yes
52.1%

Match Outcome Probabilities

FSV Mainz 05 36.1%
Draw 22.6%
Hamburger SV 41.3%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
77.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 8 Shots on Target No 99.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 5 Cards No 96.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 94.5% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 94.5% Good ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 79.9% Good ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 79.9% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards No 79.2% Good ✕ Wrong
Home More Shots Yes 74.7% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 73.8% Good ✓ Correct
Home Most Corners Yes 72.3% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Goals After 80' No 71.0% Good ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 69.6% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 9 Corners Yes 68.1% Good ✕ Wrong
Red Card No 66.2% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3.5 Goals No 64.3% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 64.3% Fair ✓ Correct
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves Yes 59.9% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 59.9% Fair ✕ Wrong
Under 2.5 Goals No 59.9% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 11 Corners No 55.5% Fair ✓ Correct
Both Teams Score Yes 52.1% Fair ✓ Correct
Half Time Result HT Draw 48.6% Low ✕ Wrong
Match Result Away Win 41.3% Low ✓ Correct
Most Likely Score 0-0 22.5% Good N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
94.5%
Over 1.5
79.9%
Over 2.5
59.9%
Over 3.5
35.7%
Under 0.5
5.5%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Under 3.5
64.3%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
29.9%
HT Draw
48.6%
HT Away Win
21.5%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
69.6%
Goals After 80'
29.0%
Goals Both Halves
59.9%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
68.1%
Over 11 Corners
44.5%
Home Most Corners
72.3%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
20.8%
Over 5 Cards
3.2%
Red Card
33.8%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.7%
Home More Shots
74.7%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
47.7%
Away Exceed xG
47.8%
Total xG Over 2.5
18.9%
High xG Variance
37.5%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
11.2
Total Cards
2.3

Frequently Asked Questions about FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV