Fortaleza EC VS Sao Paulo
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Thursday, Oct 2, 2025 At 18:30 Edt
Anderson Daronco, Brazil
Recent Form
Fortaleza EC
L
W
L
W
W
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2025
Fortaleza EC
VS
Sao Paulo
0 - 2
Fortaleza EC
VS
Sao Paulo
Serie A
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
2025
May 2, 2025
Sao Paulo
VS
Fortaleza EC
0 - 0
Sao Paulo
VS
Fortaleza EC
Serie A
MorumBIS
2025
Jul 27, 2024
Fortaleza EC
VS
Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Fortaleza EC
VS
Sao Paulo
Serie A
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
2024
Apr 13, 2024
Sao Paulo
VS
Fortaleza EC
1 - 2
Sao Paulo
VS
Fortaleza EC
Serie A
MorumBIS
2024
Sep 20, 2023
Sao Paulo
VS
Fortaleza EC
1 - 2
Sao Paulo
VS
Fortaleza EC
Serie A
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi)
2023
Match Events
Fortaleza EC
Sao Paulo
11'
⚽
G. Tapia
21'
•
Emiliano Rigoni
Card Upgrade
22'
Emiliano Rigoni
Red Card
Foul
45'+4
Gastón Ávila
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
⇄
Rodriguinho
On: Rodriguinho
Off: E. Diaz
Substitution
46'
⇄
J. Herrera
On: J. Herrera
Off: Breno Lopes
Substitution
46'
⇄
M. Pereira
On: M. Pereira
Off: Y. Guzman
Substitution
46'
⇄
M. Pereira
On: M. Pereira
Off: Y. Guzman
Substitution
46'
⇄
J. Herrera
On: J. Herrera
Off: Breno Lopes
Substitution
47'
⇄
Rodriguinho
On: Rodriguinho
Off: E. Diaz
Substitution
47'
⇄
J. Herrera
On: J. Herrera
Off: Breno Lopes
Substitution
47'
⇄
M. Pereira
On: M. Pereira
Off: Y. Guzman
Substitution
59'
Lucas Sasha
Yellow Card
Foul
59'
Lucas Gazal
Yellow Card
Argument
62'
⇄
Yago Pikachu
On: Yago Pikachu
Off: T. Pochettino
Substitution
62'
⇄
Lucas Crispim
On: Lucas Crispim
Off: A. Bareiro
Substitution
63'
⇄
Yago Pikachu
On: Yago Pikachu
Off: T. Pochettino
Substitution
64'
⇄
Lucas Crispim
On: Lucas Crispim
Off: A. Bareiro
Substitution
68'
⇄
C. Soares
On: C. Soares
Off: Mailton
Substitution
73'
⇄
Deyverson
On: Deyverson
Off: Marinho
Substitution
77'
⇄
G. Tapia
On: G. Tapia
Off: Luciano
Substitution
78'
⇄
Wendell
On: Wendell
Off: Alisson
Substitution
85'
⚽
Luciano
Assist: E. Diaz
87'
Tomás Pochettino
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+6
T. Pochettino
Yellow Card
Lineups
Fortaleza EC
Starting XI
G. Avila
#3
M. Pereira
#5
Brenno
#12
Diogo Barbosa
#16
Deyverson
#18
Yago Pikachu
#22
E. Britez
#33
Gazal
#34
J. Herrera
#80
Lucas Sasha
#88
Lucas Crispim
#91
Substitutes
F
G
M
Sao Paulo
(3-5-2)
Starting XI
C. Soares
#6
G. Tapia
#14
Rodriguinho
#15
Luiz Gustavo
#16
Wendell
#18
D. Bobadilla
#21
Rafael
#23
Pablo Maia
#29
Sabino
#35
Felipe Negrucci
#43
E. Rigoni
#77
Substitutes
M
F
F
D
D
M
D
G
D
Match Statistics
Fortaleza EC
Sao Paulo
75%
Possession
25%
24
Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
10
Blocked Shots
1
12
Fouls
9
8
Corners
6
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
1
1
Saves
5
633
Passes
218
556
Accurate Passes
141
88%
Pass Accuracy
65%
Team Comparison
41.9
Overall Strength
47.2
50%
Attacking Power
50%
44.8%
Defensive Strength
55.2%
44%
Current Form
56%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Fortaleza EC
Sao Paulo
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
26%
|
32%
Avg Total Goals
2.6
|
2.3
Cards Analysis
Fortaleza EC
2.5/Game
92
3
0-15'
8
16-30'
9
31-45'
14
46-60'
25
61-75'
18
76-90'
21
Sao Paulo
2.2/Game
81
2
0-15'
2
16-30'
12
31-45'
15
46-60'
17
61-75'
18
76-90'
19
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Fortaleza EC
11W 10D 0L
|
43:58
|
1.13 ppg
Sao Paulo
14W 9D 0L
|
43:47
|
1.34 ppg
2023/2024
Fortaleza EC
15W 9D 0L
|
45:44
|
1.42 ppg
Sao Paulo
14W 11D 0L
|
40:38
|
1.39 ppg
Match Result
Away Win
Confidence:
38.7%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
71.7%
Both Teams Score
No
63.5%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Fortaleza EC
22.6%
Draw
38.7%
Sao Paulo
38.7%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
61.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5 Cards | No | 92.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 86.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 86.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 85.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 85.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 74.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 71.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 71.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 67.4% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 66.9% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals After 80' | No | 66.1% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 65.4% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 64.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Both Teams Score | No | 63.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 59.3% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 58.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 58.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 58.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 53.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Away Win | 38.7% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 1-0 | 15.7% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
85.8%
Over 1.5
58.0%
Over 2.5
28.3%
Over 3.5
13.4%
Under 0.5
14.2%
Under 1.5
42.0%
Under 2.5
71.7%
Under 3.5
86.6%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.1%
HT Draw
50.6%
HT Away Win
22.3%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
60.0%
Goals After 80'
33.9%
Goals Both Halves
46.4%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
58.7%
Over 11 Corners
34.6%
Home Most Corners
67.4%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
33.2%
Over 5 Cards
7.5%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
36.0%
Home More Shots
59.3%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.5%
Away Exceed xG
48.3%
Total xG Over 2.5
31.0%
High xG Variance
39.8%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.4
Total Cards
2.9
League Position
Fortaleza EC
43 Points
18
Sao Paulo
51 Points
8