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FC Cincinnati VS Chicago Fire

FC Cincinnati logo

FC Cincinnati

Evander 19'
K. Denkey 50'
2-1
Full Time
Chicago Fire logo

Chicago Fire

P. Zinckernagel 55'
TQL Stadium Saturday, Jul 5, 2025 At 19:30 Edt Pierre-Luc Lauziere, USA

Match Events

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
19'
Evander
Assist: L. Orellano
50'
K. Denkey
Assist: Evander
53'
Kei Kamara
Yellow Card
Foul
55'
P. Zinckernagel
Assist: A. Gutman
68'
K. Kamara
On: K. Kamara Off: G. Valenzuela
Substitution
73'
L. Orellano
On: L. Orellano Off: B. Smith
Substitution
73'
Leonardo Barroso
On: Leonardo Barroso Off: J. Dean
Substitution
73'
B. Gutiérrez
On: B. Gutiérrez Off: M. Haile-Selassie
Substitution
76'
Jonathan Bamba
Yellow Card
Foul
83'
Matthew Miazga
Yellow Card
Foul
83'
J. Bamba
On: J. Bamba Off: O. Glasgow
Substitution
83'
S. Oregel
On: S. Oregel Off: T. Barlow
Substitution
90'
K. Denkey
On: K. Denkey Off: C. Baird
Substitution
90'
Evander
On: Evander Off: T. Hadebe
Substitution
90'
P. Zinckernagel
On: P. Zinckernagel Off: S. Williams
Substitution
90'+7
Jack Elliott
Yellow Card
Foul

Lineups

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati (3-4-1-2)

Starting XI
D
F
Evander
Evander #10
F
G
P. Bucha
P. Bucha #20
M
M. Miazga
M. Miazga #21
D
M
T. Anunga
T. Anunga #27
M
L. Engel
L. Engel #29
D
K. Kamara
K. Kamara #85
F
D. Yedlin
D. Yedlin #91
M

Chicago Fire Chicago Fire (4-3-3)

Starting XI

Match Statistics

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Blocked Shots 7
8 Fouls 13
1 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
3 Offsides 2
4 Saves 2
421 Passes 463
369 Accurate Passes 402
88% Pass Accuracy 87%

Team Comparison

53.8
Overall Strength
36.8
58% Attacking Power 42%
57% Defensive Strength 43%
71.4% Current Form 28.6%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
24% | 12%
Avg Total Goals
3 | 3

Cards Analysis

FC Cincinnati 2.3/Game
82
4
0-15'
1
16-30'
9
31-45'
11
46-60'
15
61-75'
24
76-90'
26
Chicago Fire 1.7/Game
58
1
0-15'
4
16-30'
9
31-45'
10
46-60'
15
61-75'
12
76-90'
9

Season Comparison

2024/2025
FC Cincinnati
19W 6D 0L | 60:51 | 1.7 ppg
Chicago Fire
7W 9D 0L | 40:62 | 0.88 ppg
2023/2024
FC Cincinnati
22W 10D 0L | 64:43 | 2 ppg
Chicago Fire
10W 10D 0L | 39:51 | 1.18 ppg
2022/2023
FC Cincinnati
13W 13D 0L | 66:58 | 1.44 ppg
Chicago Fire
10W 9D 0L | 39:48 | 1.15 ppg

Match Result

Home Win
Confidence: 42.4%

Goals Prediction

Over 2.5
73.2%

Both Teams Score

Yes
68.8%

Match Outcome Probabilities

FC Cincinnati 42.4%
Draw 38.6%
Chicago Fire 19.0%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
83.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 20 Shots No 99.8% Good N/A
Over 25 Shots No 99.8% Good N/A
Under 0.5 Goals No 97.8% Good N/A
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 97.7% Good ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 89.4% Good N/A
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 89.3% Good ✓ Correct
Red Card No 84.6% Good ✓ Correct
Over 11 Corners No 74.2% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 73.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards Yes 73.5% Good ✓ Correct
Goals in First 30' Yes 73.3% Good N/A
Under 2.5 Goals No 73.3% Good N/A
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 73.2% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✓ Correct
Goals After 80' No 71.1% Good N/A
Both Teams Score Yes 68.8% Good ✓ Correct
Over 8 Shots on Target Yes 67.2% Good N/A
Goals Both Halves Yes 65.3% Good N/A
Home Most Corners Yes 63.3% Fair N/A
Over 5 Cards No 61.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Home More Shots Yes 60.8% Fair N/A
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair N/A
Under 3.5 Goals No 52.9% Fair N/A
Over 3.5 Goals Yes 52.8% Fair ✕ Wrong
Over 9 Corners No 51.0% Fair ✕ Wrong
Half Time Result HT Draw 50.6% Fair ✕ Wrong
Match Result Home Win 42.4% Low ✓ Correct
Most Likely Score 2-1 9.0% Low N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
97.7%
Over 1.5
89.3%
Over 2.5
73.2%
Over 3.5
52.8%
Under 0.5
2.2%
Under 1.5
10.7%
Under 2.5
26.7%
Under 3.5
47.1%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
29.0%
HT Draw
50.6%
HT Away Win
20.4%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
73.3%
Goals After 80'
28.9%
Goals Both Halves
65.3%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
49.0%
Over 11 Corners
25.8%
Home Most Corners
63.3%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.2%
Over 25 Shots
0.2%
Over 8 On Target
67.2%
Home More Shots
60.8%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
56.0%
Away Exceed xG
51.1%
Total xG Over 2.5
73.3%
High xG Variance
49.1%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
9.6
Total Cards
5.0

League Position

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
65 Points 2
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
53 Points 8

Frequently Asked Questions about FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire