Exeter City VS Luton
Recent Form
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2026
Luton
VS
Exeter City
3 - 2
Luton
VS
Exeter City
League One
Kenilworth Road
2025
Jan 1, 2026
Exeter City
VS
Luton
1 - 0
Exeter City
VS
Luton
League One
St James Park
2025
Dec 2, 2025
Luton
VS
Exeter City
4 - 0
Luton
VS
Exeter City
EFL Trophy
Kenilworth Road
2025
Sep 26, 2023
Exeter City
VS
Luton
1 - 0
Exeter City
VS
Luton
League Cup
St James Park
2023
Feb 3, 2018
Luton
VS
Exeter City
1 - 0
Luton
VS
Exeter City
League Two
Kenilworth Road
2017
Match Events
Exeter City
Luton
25'
Jake Doyle Hayes
Yellow Card
Argument
29'
Sonny Cox
Yellow Card
Foul
50'
⚽
P. Sweeney
62'
⇄
S. Morris
On: S. Morris
Off: J. Brown
Substitution
62'
⇄
J. Yates
On: J. Yates
Off: N. Wells
Substitution
63'
⇄
S. Cox
On: S. Cox
Off: C. Mendes
Substitution
67'
Jacob Brown
Yellow Card
Foul
70'
⇄
J. Doyle-Hayes
On: J. Doyle-Hayes
Off: R. Cole
Substitution
76'
⇄
G. Saville
On: G. Saville
Off: L. Fanne
Substitution
76'
⇄
R. Walters
On: R. Walters
Off: Z. Nelson
Substitution
78'
Ethan Brierley
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
88'
⇄
J. Aitchison
On: J. Aitchison
Off: L. Woodhouse
Substitution
Lineups
Exeter City
(3-4-1-2)
Starting XI
J. Whitworth
#1
J. McMillan
#2
J. Fitzwater
#5
E. Brierley
#6
J. Wareham
#9
J. Aitchison
#10
I. Niskanen
#14
S. Swinkels
#16
S. Cox
#19
P. Sweeney
#26
31
J. Doyle-Hayes
#31
Substitutes
Luton
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
J. Shea
#1
R. Walters
#2
L. Walsh
#8
J. Yates
#9
S. Morris
#14
T. Mengi
#15
N. Lonwijk
#17
J. Clark
#18
G. Saville
#23
C. Bramall
#33
J. Johnson
#38
Match Statistics
Exeter City
Luton
38%
Possession
62%
16
Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
0
7
Blocked Shots
3
12
Fouls
14
6
Corners
1
3
Yellow Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
0
Saves
4
350
Passes
580
268
Accurate Passes
501
77%
Pass Accuracy
86%
Team Comparison
43
Overall Strength
52.6
43.3%
Attacking Power
56.7%
47.9%
Defensive Strength
52.1%
36.4%
Current Form
63.6%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Exeter City
Luton
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
28%
|
28%
Avg Total Goals
2.4
|
2.7
Cards Analysis
Exeter City
1.6/Game
72
0
0-15'
4
16-30'
12
31-45'
9
46-60'
8
61-75'
18
76-90'
21
Luton
1.5/Game
68
0
0-15'
1
16-30'
8
31-45'
15
46-60'
15
61-75'
16
76-90'
13
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Exeter City
12W 13D 0L
|
52:61
|
1.07 ppg
Luton
21W 11D 0L
|
68:56
|
1.61 ppg
2024/2025
Exeter City
15W 11D 0L
|
49:65
|
1.22 ppg
Luton
13W 10D 0L
|
45:69
|
1.07 ppg
2023/2024
Exeter City
17W 10D 0L
|
46:61
|
1.33 ppg
Luton
1W 0D 0L
|
3:3
|
1.5 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
56.7%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
62.6%
Both Teams Score
No
54.2%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Exeter City
56.7%
Draw
21.4%
Luton
21.9%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
81.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5 Cards | No | 97.0% | Good | N/A |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 80.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 80.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 80.0% | Good | N/A |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | N/A |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good | N/A |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 66.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 66.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 63.9% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 62.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 62.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 60.3% | Fair | N/A |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Match Result | Home Win | 56.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 56.6% | Fair | N/A |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 55.6% | Fair | N/A |
| Both Teams Score | No | 54.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 53.7% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.2% | Fair | N/A |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.6% | Low | ✓ Correct |
| Most Likely Score | 0-0 | 20.6% | Good | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
37.4%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
62.6%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.0%
HT Draw
48.6%
HT Away Win
22.5%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
46.3%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
60.3%
Over 11 Corners
36.1%
Home Most Corners
55.6%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
20.0%
Over 5 Cards
3.0%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.1%
Home More Shots
56.6%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
48.9%
Away Exceed xG
47.1%
Total xG Over 2.5
21.2%
High xG Variance
37.9%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.5
Total Cards
2.3