Emelec VS Independiente del Valle
Recent Form
Emelec
D
L
W
D
D
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2026
Independiente del Valle
VS
Emelec
6 - 1
Independiente del Valle
VS
Emelec
Liga Pro
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
2026
Mar 19, 2026
Emelec
VS
Independiente del Valle
2 - 0
Emelec
VS
Independiente del Valle
Liga Pro
Estadio George Capwell
2026
Aug 24, 2025
Emelec
VS
Independiente del Valle
0 - 1
Emelec
VS
Independiente del Valle
Liga Pro
Estadio George Capwell
2025
May 4, 2025
Independiente del Valle
VS
Emelec
1 - 2
Independiente del Valle
VS
Emelec
Liga Pro
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
2025
Sep 14, 2024
Independiente del Valle
VS
Emelec
2 - 1
Independiente del Valle
VS
Emelec
Liga Pro
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
2024
Match Events
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
30'
⚽
C. Spinelli
Assist: J. Alcivar
36'
⇄
J. Angulo
On: J. Angulo
Off: J. R. Cuero Palacio
Substitution
46'
⇄
R. Ibarra
On: R. Ibarra
Off: T. Santamaria
Substitution
47'
Justin Cuero
Yellow Card
Foul
56'
⇄
S. Quintero
On: S. Quintero
Off: J. Cevallos
Substitution
66'
⇄
J. Sornoza
On: J. Sornoza
Off: D. Guagua
Substitution
70'
Luis Castillo
Yellow Card
Foul
71'
J. L. Castillo Saa
Yellow Card
77'
⇄
E. Pata
On: E. Pata
Off: L. Loor
Substitution
80'
⇄
C. Spinelli
On: C. Spinelli
Off: M. Hoyos
Substitution
81'
⇄
C. Spinelli
On: C. Spinelli
Off: M. Hoyos
Substitution
81'
⇄
J. Mendez
On: J. Mendez
Off: P. Mercado
Substitution
81'
⇄
A. Gonzalez
On: A. Gonzalez
Off: M. Solis
Substitution
81'
⇄
Jhegson Méndez
On: Jhegson Méndez
Off: Patrik Mercado
Substitution
81'
⇄
Claudio Spinelli
On: Claudio Spinelli
Off: Michael Hoyos
Substitution
82'
Jordy Alcivar
Yellow Card
Foul
83'
J. Alcivar
Yellow Card
83'
Mateo Carabajal
Yellow Card
Foul
84'
M. Carabajal
Yellow Card
Lineups
Emelec
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
A. Barco
#4
S. Quintero
#6
F. Castelli
#9
C. Cueva
#10
P. Ortiz
#12
R. Caicedo
#14
D
A. Gonzalez
#21
J. Angulo
#26
F. Leon
#27
D
Substitutes
M
F
F
M
Independiente del Valle
(4-1-4-1)
Starting XI
R. Schunke
#5
J. Alcivar
#6
J. Sornoza
#10
M. Fernandez
#13
M. Carabajal
#14
G. Cortez
#15
G. Villar
#22
R. Ibarra
#30
E. Pata
#31
J. Mendez
#32
C. Spinelli
#77
Substitutes
M
G
D
M
Match Statistics
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
40%
Possession
60%
5
Shots
3
3
Shots on Target
1
0
Blocked Shots
0
4
Fouls
2
3
Corners
2
0
Offsides
2
0
Saves
3
122
Passes
189
89
Accurate Passes
156
73%
Pass Accuracy
83%
Team Comparison
46.9
Overall Strength
62.3
38.5%
Attacking Power
61.5%
38%
Defensive Strength
62%
39.5%
Current Form
60.5%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
33%
|
38%
Avg Total Goals
2.3
|
2.5
Cards Analysis
Emelec
2/Game
71
8
0-15'
5
16-30'
6
31-45'
15
46-60'
20
61-75'
17
76-90'
16
Independiente del Valle
1.7/Game
63
3
0-15'
4
16-30'
5
31-45'
7
46-60'
19
61-75'
11
76-90'
20
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Emelec
15W 10D 0L
|
42:49
|
1.38 ppg
Independiente del Valle
23W 13D 0L
|
67:30
|
2.05 ppg
2024/2025
Emelec
9W 10D 0L
|
29:32
|
1.23 ppg
Independiente del Valle
20W 8D 0L
|
57:25
|
2.13 ppg
2023/2024
Emelec
8W 12D 0L
|
32:28
|
1.2 ppg
Independiente del Valle
17W 6D 0L
|
50:31
|
1.78 ppg
Match Result
Away Win
Confidence:
41.7%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
60.1%
Both Teams Score
No
53.8%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Emelec
19.6%
Draw
38.7%
Independiente del Valle
41.7%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
75.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 89.8% | Good | N/A |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 80.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 80.3% | Good | N/A |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 74.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 67.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 66.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 66.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals After 80' | No | 65.7% | Good | N/A |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 63.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 60.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 60.1% | Fair | N/A |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Home More Shots | No | 56.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 56.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | No | 53.8% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 52.7% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.2% | Fair | N/A |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Away Win | 41.7% | Low | ✓ Correct |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 13.3% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
26.8%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
23.2%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
34.3%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
67.2%
Over 11 Corners
43.5%
Home Most Corners
52.7%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
63.0%
Home More Shots
43.5%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.9%
Away Exceed xG
49.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
39.9%
High xG Variance
41.4%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
11.1
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Emelec
55 Points
4
Independiente del Valle
82 Points
1