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Derby VS West Brom

Derby logo

Derby

J. Yates 28'
M. Holgate 68'
2-1
Full Time
West Brom logo

West Brom

G. Diangana 81'
Pride Park Stadium Thursday, Dec 26, 2024 At 12:30 Est J. Gillett

Match Events

Derby Derby
West Brom West Brom
28'
J. Yates
Assist: K. Goudmijn
40'
Tom Fellows
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
U. Račić
On: U. Račić Off: J. Molumby
Substitution
68'
M. Holgate
Own Goal
69'
J. Swift
On: J. Swift Off: G. Diangana
Substitution
69'
M. Johnston
On: M. Johnston Off: K. Ahearne-Grant
Substitution
71'
K. Jackson
On: K. Jackson Off: T. Chirewa
Substitution
72'
N. Mendez-Laing
On: N. Mendez-Laing Off: C. Forsyth
Substitution
75'
M. Holgate
On: M. Holgate Off: C. Styles
Substitution
81'
G. Diangana
Assist: T. Fellows
84'
C. Elder
On: C. Elder Off: S. Bradley
Substitution
90'+2
J. Yates
On: J. Yates Off: D. Brown
Substitution
90'+5
Ebou Adams
Yellow Card
Foul

Lineups

West Brom West Brom (4-2-3-1)

Starting XI
G
D
D
D
J. Maja
J. Maja #9
F
J. Swift
J. Swift #10
M
T. Heggem
T. Heggem #14
D
M
M
A. Mowatt
A. Mowatt #27
M
M

Match Statistics

Derby Derby
West Brom West Brom
38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Blocked Shots 6
13 Fouls 8
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
4 Offsides 1
2 Saves 3
304 Passes 496
227 Accurate Passes 420
75% Pass Accuracy 85%

Team Comparison

44.1
Overall Strength
48.9
45.7% Attacking Power 54.3%
45.6% Defensive Strength 54.4%
46.4% Current Form 53.6%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Derby Derby
West Brom West Brom
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
26% | 30%
Avg Total Goals
2.2 | 2.2

Cards Analysis

Derby 1.7/Game
78
0
0-15'
5
16-30'
9
31-45'
15
46-60'
20
61-75'
10
76-90'
19
West Brom 1.5/Game
68
3
0-15'
2
16-30'
7
31-45'
11
46-60'
21
61-75'
12
76-90'
18

Season Comparison

2024/2025
Derby
13W 11D 0L | 48:56 | 1.09 ppg
West Brom
15W 19D 0L | 57:47 | 1.39 ppg
2023/2024
Derby
28W 8D 0L | 78:37 | 2 ppg
West Brom
21W 13D 0L | 71:50 | 1.58 ppg
2022/2023
Derby
21W 13D 0L | 67:46 | 1.65 ppg
West Brom
18W 12D 0L | 59:53 | 1.43 ppg

Match Result

Home Win
Confidence: 37.0%

Goals Prediction

Over 2.5
57.0%

Both Teams Score

Yes
59.8%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Derby 37.0%
Draw 33.0%
West Brom 30.0%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Market Analysis Confidence Value
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 94.9% Good
Under 0.5 Goals No 94.9% Good
Red Card No 84.6% Good
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 79.6% Good
Under 1.5 Goals No 79.6% Good
Over 8 Shots on Target No 74.5% Good
Goal Before 15' No 73.8% Good
Over 3 Cards Yes 73.5% Good
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good
Goals in First 30' Yes 68.1% Good
Goals After 80' No 67.2% Good
Over 3.5 Goals No 65.4% Fair
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 65.4% Fair
Over 11 Corners No 65.3% Good
Over 5 Cards No 61.6% Fair
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair
Both Teams Score Yes 59.8% Fair
Over 9 Corners Yes 58.9% Fair
Goals Both Halves Yes 57.9% Fair
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 57.0% Fair
Under 2.5 Goals No 57.0% Fair
Home Most Corners Yes 56.0% Fair
Home More Shots Yes 51.1% Fair
Half Time Result HT Draw 50.0% Low
Match Result Home Win 37.0% Low
Most Likely Score 1-1 11.3% Low

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
94.9%
Over 1.5
79.6%
Over 2.5
57.0%
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 0.5
5.1%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Under 2.5
43.0%
Under 3.5
65.4%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
29.5%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
20.5%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
68.1%
Goals After 80'
32.8%
Goals Both Halves
57.9%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
58.9%
Over 11 Corners
34.7%
Home Most Corners
56.0%
Goal from Corner
40.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
25.5%
Home More Shots
51.1%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
51.5%
Away Exceed xG
51.4%
Total xG Over 2.5
57.0%
High xG Variance
44.9%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
10.4
Total Cards
5.0

League Position

Derby Derby
50 Points 19
West Brom West Brom
64 Points 9

Frequently Asked Questions about Derby vs West Brom