Derby VS QPR
Recent Form
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2026
QPR
VS
Derby
2 - 3
QPR
VS
Derby
Championship
MATRADE Loftus Road
2025
Oct 25, 2025
Derby
VS
QPR
1 - 0
Derby
VS
QPR
Championship
Pride Park Stadium
2025
Feb 14, 2025
QPR
VS
Derby
4 - 0
QPR
VS
Derby
Championship
MATRADE Loftus Road
2024
Oct 5, 2024
Derby
VS
QPR
2 - 0
Derby
VS
QPR
Championship
Pride Park Stadium
2024
Apr 18, 2022
QPR
VS
Derby
1 - 0
QPR
VS
Derby
Championship
MATRADE Loftus Road
2021
Match Events
Derby
QPR
16'
Scott Malone
Yellow Card
23'
⚽
M. Waghorn
45'+4
⚽
E. Eze
Penalty
49'
Bright Osayi-Samuel
Yellow Card
67'
⇄
J. Bogle
On: J. Bogle
Off: M. Whittaker
Substitution
71'
⇄
L. Amos
On: L. Amos
Off: J. Scowen
Substitution
75'
Geoff Cameron
Yellow Card
78'
⇄
M. Pugh
On: M. Pugh
Off: N. Wells
Substitution
81'
⇄
J. Marriott
On: J. Marriott
Off: J. Knight
Substitution
81'
⇄
M. Waghorn
On: M. Waghorn
Off: C. Martin
Substitution
88'
Ryan Manning
Yellow Card
Lineups
Derby
(3-5-2)
Starting XI
A. Wisdom
#2
C. Forsyth
#3
M. Waghorn
#9
T. Lawrence
#10
B. Hamer
#12
J. Marriott
#14
G. Evans
#17
D. Holmes
#23
C. Davies
#33
J. Bogle
#37
S. Malone
#46
Substitutes
QPR
(4-4-1-1)
Starting XI
J. Lumley
#1
G. Hall
#4
G. Cameron
#5
M. Pugh
#7
L. Amos
#8
J. Hugill
#9
E. Eze
#10
R. Manning
#14
B. Osayi-Samuel
#20
Àngel Rangel
#22
T. Leistner
#37
Match Statistics
Derby
QPR
48%
Possession
52%
13
Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
2
3
Blocked Shots
3
10
Fouls
14
8
Corners
9
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Offsides
0
1
Saves
3
411
Passes
442
316
Accurate Passes
352
77%
Pass Accuracy
80%
Team Comparison
47.3
Overall Strength
44.8
48.1%
Attacking Power
51.9%
54.3%
Defensive Strength
45.7%
51.5%
Current Form
48.5%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Derby
QPR
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
|
13%
Avg Total Goals
2.7
|
3.2
Cards Analysis
Derby
2/Game
84
6
0-15'
4
16-30'
10
31-45'
17
46-60'
11
61-75'
15
76-90'
33
QPR
1.9/Game
85
3
16-30'
8
31-45'
14
46-60'
17
61-75'
12
76-90'
37
Season Comparison
2019/2020
Derby
17W 13D 0L
|
62:64
|
1.39 ppg
QPR
16W 10D 0L
|
67:76
|
1.26 ppg
2018/2019
Derby
21W 14D 0L
|
74:59
|
1.57 ppg
QPR
14W 9D 0L
|
53:71
|
1.11 ppg
2017/2018
Derby
21W 15D 0L
|
71:50
|
1.63 ppg
QPR
15W 11D 0L
|
58:70
|
1.22 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
36.6%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
65.8%
Both Teams Score
Yes
66.2%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Derby
36.6%
Draw
33.0%
QPR
30.4%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 96.6% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 96.6% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 85.2% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 85.2% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 80.6% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 71.6% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 66.2% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 65.8% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 65.8% | Fair |
| Goals After 80' | No | 64.5% | Fair |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 62.9% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 59.4% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 59.1% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 57.4% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 56.1% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 56.1% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 53.3% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.0% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 36.6% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 9.6% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
96.6%
Over 1.5
85.2%
Over 2.5
65.8%
Over 3.5
44.0%
Under 0.5
3.4%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Under 2.5
34.2%
Under 3.5
56.1%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.5%
HT Draw
50.0%
HT Away Win
20.5%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
71.6%
Goals After 80'
35.5%
Goals Both Halves
62.9%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
40.9%
Over 11 Corners
19.4%
Home Most Corners
57.4%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
40.6%
Home More Shots
53.3%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
53.3%
Away Exceed xG
51.7%
Total xG Over 2.5
65.8%
High xG Variance
47.0%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.0
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Derby
64 Points
10
QPR
58 Points
13