Deportes Tolima VS Atletico Nacional
Recent Form
Deportes Tolima
W
D
L
L
L
Head to Head
May 23, 2026
Atletico Nacional
VS
Deportes Tolima
3 - 1
Atletico Nacional
VS
Deportes Tolima
Primera A
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2026
May 16, 2026
Deportes Tolima
VS
Atletico Nacional
0 - 1
Deportes Tolima
VS
Atletico Nacional
Primera A
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
2026
Mar 1, 2026
Deportes Tolima
VS
Atletico Nacional
1 - 0
Deportes Tolima
VS
Atletico Nacional
Primera A
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
2026
Mar 19, 2025
Atletico Nacional
VS
Deportes Tolima
4 - 3
Atletico Nacional
VS
Deportes Tolima
Primera A
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2025
Dec 22, 2024
Atletico Nacional
VS
Deportes Tolima
2 - 0
Atletico Nacional
VS
Deportes Tolima
Primera A
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2024
Match Events
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
26'
E. Bello
Red Card
27'
•
Eduard Bello
Card Upgrade
28'
Eduard Bello
Red Card
Foul
29'
Milton Casco
Yellow Card
Foul
30'
M. Casco
Yellow Card
34'
Edwin Cardona
Yellow Card
Foul
36'
⇄
Cristian Arrieta
On: Cristian Arrieta
Off: Edwar López
Substitution
38'
Marlos Moreno
Yellow Card
Foul
45'+1
Jan Ángulo
Red Card
Foul
46'
⇄
Jersson González
On: Jersson González
Off: Kelvin Florez
Substitution
46'
⇄
Ever Valencia
On: Ever Valencia
Off: Anderson Angulo
Substitution
52'
⚽
Juan Torres
Penalty
61'
⇄
Cristian Arango
On: Cristian Arango
Off: Alfredo Morelos
Substitution
61'
⇄
E. Cardona
On: E. Cardona
Off: A. Sarmiento
Substitution
62'
⇄
Juan Pablo Nieto
On: Juan Pablo Nieto
Off: Brayan Rovira
Substitution
62'
⇄
Edwin Cardona
On: Edwin Cardona
Off: Andrés Sarmiento
Substitution
74'
⇄
S. Velasquez
On: S. Velasquez
Off: C. Uribe
Substitution
74'
⇄
M. Moreno
On: M. Moreno
Off: J. Rengifo
Substitution
74'
⇄
Juan Torres
On: Juan Torres
Off: Luis Sandoval
Substitution
74'
⇄
Marlos Moreno
On: Marlos Moreno
Off: Juan Manuel Rengifo
Substitution
74'
⇄
Samuel Velásquez
On: Samuel Velásquez
Off: Cristian Uribe
Substitution
82'
⇄
Matheus Uribe
On: Matheus Uribe
Off: Dairon Asprilla
Substitution
84'
Alfredo Morelos
Yellow Card
Foul
90'
Luis Sandoval
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+4
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
Yellow Card
90'+4
Shean Barbosa
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
Lineups
Deportes Tolima
(3-1-4-2)
Starting XI
Neto Volpi
#1
J. Angulo
#3
J. Mera
#5
J. Gonzalez
#7
E. Valencia
#8
F
J. Nieto
#15
C. Arrieta
#17
A. Parra Osorio
#24
Shean Barbosa
#30
S. Guzman
#32
Substitutes
M
F
Atletico Nacional
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
N. Parra
#3
C. Haydar
#4
M. Moreno
#7
M. Uribe
#8
E. Cardona
#10
H. Castillo
#15
C. Arango
#17
E. Bello
#18
M. Casco
#20
S. Velasquez
#33
J. Zapata
#80
Substitutes
D
M
Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
64%
Possession
36%
12
Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
4
4
Blocked Shots
2
13
Fouls
9
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
1
3
Offsides
0
4
Saves
1
481
Passes
270
421
Accurate Passes
204
88%
Pass Accuracy
76%
Team Comparison
56.6
Overall Strength
56.3
44.2%
Attacking Power
55.8%
53.9%
Defensive Strength
46.1%
52.4%
Current Form
47.6%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
43%
|
33%
Avg Total Goals
2.3
|
2.8
Cards Analysis
Deportes Tolima
2.2/Game
116
4
0-15'
10
16-30'
19
31-45'
32
46-60'
20
61-75'
12
76-90'
27
Atletico Nacional
2.6/Game
124
9
0-15'
9
16-30'
17
31-45'
33
46-60'
29
61-75'
24
76-90'
21
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Deportes Tolima
28W 12D 0L
|
73:49
|
1.78 ppg
Atletico Nacional
24W 16D 0L
|
87:54
|
1.73 ppg
2024/2025
Deportes Tolima
27W 12D 0L
|
73:46
|
1.79 ppg
Atletico Nacional
21W 13D 0L
|
66:42
|
1.65 ppg
2023/2024
Deportes Tolima
20W 13D 0L
|
61:51
|
1.59 ppg
Atletico Nacional
25W 16D 0L
|
71:48
|
1.69 ppg
Match Result
Draw
Confidence:
38.9%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
58.8%
Both Teams Score
No
56.4%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Deportes Tolima
31.2%
Draw
38.9%
Atletico Nacional
29.9%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
64.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | No | 94.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 94.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 90.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 87.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 87.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 78.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 78.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 70.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 66.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 66.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 66.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | No | 64.8% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home Most Corners | No | 64.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 64.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 63.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 58.8% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 58.8% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 57.9% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 57.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | No | 56.4% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 52.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 49.3% | Low | ✓ Correct |
| Match Result | Draw | 38.9% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 0-0 | 18.1% | Good | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
87.6%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
41.2%
Over 3.5
21.1%
Under 0.5
12.4%
Under 1.5
33.5%
Under 2.5
58.8%
Under 3.5
78.9%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.4%
HT Draw
49.3%
HT Away Win
21.3%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
64.5%
Goals After 80'
42.8%
Goals Both Halves
52.7%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
66.0%
Over 11 Corners
42.1%
Home Most Corners
35.3%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
37.0%
Over 5 Cards
9.2%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
5.8%
Over 25 Shots
5.8%
Over 8 On Target
29.3%
Home More Shots
35.2%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
48.4%
Away Exceed xG
48.2%
Total xG Over 2.5
24.5%
High xG Variance
38.6%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
11.0
Total Cards
3.1
League Position
Deportes Tolima
37 Points
3
Atletico Nacional
55 Points
1