Ceara VS Fortaleza EC
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Sunday, May 17, 2026 At 17:30 Edt
Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil
Recent Form
Ceara
D
D
L
L
L
Head to Head
May 17, 2026
Ceara
VS
Fortaleza EC
2 - 1
Ceara
VS
Fortaleza EC
Serie B
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
2026
Apr 8, 2026
Ceara
VS
Fortaleza EC
2 - 0
Ceara
VS
Fortaleza EC
Copa do Nordeste
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
2026
Mar 8, 2026
Ceara
VS
Fortaleza EC
PEN
Ceara
VS
Fortaleza EC
Cearense - 1
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
2026
Mar 1, 2026
Fortaleza EC
VS
Ceara
1 - 1
Fortaleza EC
VS
Ceara
Cearense - 1
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
2026
Feb 8, 2026
Ceara
VS
Fortaleza EC
0 - 0
Ceara
VS
Fortaleza EC
Cearense - 1
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
2026
Match Events
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
28'
⚽
Mailton
Penalty
40'
Vitinho
Yellow Card
Foul
45'+3
Juan Miritello
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
⇄
Fernando
On: Fernando
Off: Sanchez
Substitution
46'
Luan Freitas
Yellow Card
49'
Alex Silva
Yellow Card
Argument
49'
Maílton
Yellow Card
Argument
50'
Alex Silva
Yellow Card
53'
⇄
Alex Silva
On: Alex Silva
Off: Enzo Lodovico
Substitution
58'
⚽
Melk
Assist: Enzo Lodovico
60'
⇄
Gustavo Prado
On: Gustavo Prado
Off: Giulio
Substitution
60'
⇄
Fernandinho
On: Fernandinho
Off: Matheus Araujo
Substitution
62'
⇄
Vitinho
On: Vitinho
Off: Rodriguinho
Substitution
63'
⇄
Vitinho
On: Vitinho
Off: Rodriguinho
Substitution
68'
⚽
Julio Cesar
Assist: Melk
74'
⇄
Ronald
On: Ronald
Off: Paulo Baya
Substitution
74'
⇄
T. Pochettino
On: T. Pochettino
Off: Welliton
Substitution
75'
⇄
T. Pochettino
On: T. Pochettino
Off: Welliton
Substitution
75'
⇄
Ronald
On: Ronald
Off: Paulo Baya
Substitution
77'
Dieguinho
Yellow Card
Foul
79'
⇄
Diego
On: Diego
Off: Lucas Lima
Substitution
86'
⇄
Rodrigo
On: Rodrigo
Off: Lucca Prior
Substitution
87'
⇄
Rodrigo
On: Rodrigo
Off: Lucca Prior
Substitution
90'+3
Enzo Valentim Lodovico
Yellow Card
Foul
90'+5
Lucas Sasha
Yellow Card
Foul
Lineups
Ceara
Starting XI
Luiz Otavio
#4
Fernandinho
#11
Fernando
#17
Julio Cesar
#18
Diego
#20
Alex Silva
#21
Gustavo Prado
#30
Eder
#33
Melk
#40
Joao Gabriel
#81
Bruno Ferreira
#94
Substitutes
D
F
D
Fortaleza EC
(3-4-2-1)
Starting XI
Lucas Gazal
#3
Luan Freitas
#4
F
Ronald
#8
F
Vitinho
#11
Mauricio Junior
#13
Mailton
#22
G
Rodrigo
#29
Lucas Sasha
#88
Substitutes
D
F
F
Match Statistics
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
50%
Possession
50%
10
Shots
17
5
Shots on Target
5
3
Blocked Shots
2
20
Fouls
21
3
Corners
2
3
Yellow Cards
4
1
Offsides
2
4
Saves
3
358
Passes
349
287
Accurate Passes
289
80%
Pass Accuracy
83%
Team Comparison
44.9
Overall Strength
41.9
44.2%
Attacking Power
55.8%
59.2%
Defensive Strength
40.8%
50%
Current Form
50%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
29%
|
26%
Avg Total Goals
2
|
2.6
Cards Analysis
Ceara
2/Game
75
2
0-15'
5
16-30'
6
31-45'
14
46-60'
23
61-75'
10
76-90'
19
Fortaleza EC
2.5/Game
92
3
0-15'
8
16-30'
9
31-45'
14
46-60'
25
61-75'
18
76-90'
21
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Ceara
11W 10D 0L
|
34:40
|
1.13 ppg
Fortaleza EC
11W 10D 0L
|
43:58
|
1.13 ppg
2023/2024
Ceara — No Data Available
Fortaleza EC
15W 9D 0L
|
45:44
|
1.42 ppg
Match Result
Draw
Confidence:
38.1%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
58.0%
Both Teams Score
No
60.2%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Ceara
32.0%
Draw
38.1%
Fortaleza EC
29.9%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
55.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11 Corners | No | 99.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 98.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 92.1% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 90.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 90.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 80.0% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 80.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 78.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 78.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 68.3% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 68.3% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 65.7% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 63.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | No | 60.2% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 58.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 58.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals After 80' | No | 53.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 50.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.6% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Draw | 38.1% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 0-0 | 16.9% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
90.6%
Over 1.5
68.3%
Over 2.5
42.0%
Over 3.5
21.3%
Under 0.5
9.5%
Under 1.5
31.7%
Under 2.5
58.0%
Under 3.5
78.7%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.0%
HT Draw
48.6%
HT Away Win
22.5%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
63.1%
Goals After 80'
46.4%
Goals Both Halves
50.7%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
1.7%
Over 11 Corners
0.2%
Home Most Corners
80.0%
Goal from Corner
37.8%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
34.3%
Over 5 Cards
7.9%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.1%
Home More Shots
80.0%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
48.6%
Away Exceed xG
48.4%
Total xG Over 2.5
26.4%
High xG Variance
38.9%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
4.5
Total Cards
3.0
League Position
Ceara
19 Points
17
Fortaleza EC
31 Points
5