Ceara VS Bahia
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Saturday, Sep 20, 2025 At 17:30 Edt
Lucas Casagrande, Brazil
Recent Form
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2025
Ceara
VS
Bahia
1 - 1
Ceara
VS
Bahia
Serie A
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
2025
Aug 20, 2025
Bahia
VS
Ceara
1 - 0
Bahia
VS
Ceara
Copa do Nordeste
Arena Fonte Nova
2025
Apr 21, 2025
Bahia
VS
Ceara
1 - 0
Bahia
VS
Ceara
Serie A
Arena Fonte Nova
2025
Mar 26, 2025
Bahia
VS
Ceara
3 - 2
Bahia
VS
Ceara
Copa do Nordeste
Arena Fonte Nova
2025
Mar 6, 2024
Ceara
VS
Bahia
1 - 2
Ceara
VS
Bahia
Copa do Nordeste
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
2024
Match Events
Ceara
Bahia
45'
⚽
Lourenco
45'+3
❌
Lourenco
Assist: Lourenco
Missed Penalty
45'+6
Fernando Sobral
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
⇄
Michel Araujo
On: Michel Araujo
Off: Kayky
Substitution
56'
⚽
Willian Jose
Assist: Everton Ribeiro
59'
Aylon
Yellow Card
Foul
63'
⇄
Lourenco
On: Lourenco
Off: Vina
Substitution
63'
⇄
Aylon
On: Aylon
Off: Pedro Henrique
Substitution
63'
⇄
Aylon
On: Aylon
Off: Pedro Henrique
Substitution
63'
⇄
Lourenco
On: Lourenco
Off: Vina
Substitution
67'
⇄
Nicolas Acevedo
On: Nicolas Acevedo
Off: Rodrigo
Substitution
67'
⇄
Fernando Sobral
On: Fernando Sobral
Off: Vinicius Zanocelo
Substitution
67'
⇄
Everton Ribeiro
On: Everton Ribeiro
Off: Rezende
Substitution
67'
⇄
Everton Ribeiro
On: Everton Ribeiro
Off: Rezende
Substitution
67'
⇄
Nicolas Acevedo
On: Nicolas Acevedo
Off: Rodrigo
Substitution
75'
⇄
Willian Jose
On: Willian Jose
Off: Tiago
Substitution
78'
Tiago Souza
Yellow Card
Foul
84'
⇄
Paulo Baya
On: Paulo Baya
Off: Fernandinho
Substitution
84'
⇄
Diego
On: Diego
Off: Lucas Lima
Substitution
84'
⇄
Diego
On: Diego
Off: Lucas Lima
Substitution
84'
⇄
Paulo Baya
On: Paulo Baya
Off: Fernandinho
Substitution
86'
Fernandinho
Yellow Card
Foul
90'
⇄
M. Sanabria
On: M. Sanabria
Off: Iago Borduchi
Substitution
Lineups
Ceara
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
R. Ramos
#2
Rafael Ramos
#2
Marllon
#3
Aylon
#11
Paulo Baya
#17
Diego
#20
Willian Machado
#23
A. Galeano
#27
Nicolas
#30
Fernando Sobral
#88
Bruno Ferreira
#94
Lourenco
#97
Substitutes
G
M
D
F
Bahia
(4-1-4-1)
Starting XI
D
Jean Lucas
#6
Everton Ribeiro
#10
Willian Jose
#12
S. Arias
#13
Michel Araujo
#15
S. Ramos
#21
M. Sanabria
#23
Nicolas Acevedo
#26
Luciano Juba
#46
Ronaldo Strada
#96
Substitutes
D
M
M
M
F
M
F
Match Statistics
Ceara
Bahia
33%
Possession
67%
15
Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
5
1
Blocked Shots
1
13
Fouls
11
3
Corners
6
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Offsides
3
4
Saves
4
257
Passes
554
193
Accurate Passes
475
75%
Pass Accuracy
86%
Team Comparison
44.9
Overall Strength
51.2
40.5%
Attacking Power
59.5%
53.5%
Defensive Strength
46.5%
39.3%
Current Form
60.7%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Ceara
Bahia
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
29%
|
34%
Avg Total Goals
2
|
2.5
Cards Analysis
Ceara
2/Game
75
2
0-15'
5
16-30'
6
31-45'
14
46-60'
23
61-75'
10
76-90'
19
Bahia
2.1/Game
74
6
0-15'
3
16-30'
5
31-45'
14
46-60'
23
61-75'
17
76-90'
18
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Ceara
11W 10D 0L
|
34:40
|
1.13 ppg
Bahia
17W 9D 0L
|
50:46
|
1.58 ppg
2023/2024
Ceara — No Data Available
Bahia
12W 8D 0L
|
50:53
|
1.16 ppg
Match Result
Away Win
Confidence:
42.7%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
71.7%
Both Teams Score
No
63.9%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Ceara
21.1%
Draw
36.3%
Bahia
42.7%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
58.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5 Cards | No | 93.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 88.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 88.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 84.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 84.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 80.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 71.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 71.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 70.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 69.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | No | 63.9% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 58.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 57.4% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 57.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 56.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 56.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 55.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 55.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 51.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 50.3% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Match Result | Away Win | 42.7% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 0-1 | 16.0% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
84.3%
Over 1.5
55.2%
Over 2.5
28.3%
Over 3.5
11.7%
Under 0.5
15.7%
Under 1.5
44.8%
Under 2.5
71.7%
Under 3.5
88.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.7%
HT Draw
51.6%
HT Away Win
20.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
57.4%
Goals After 80'
29.5%
Goals Both Halves
43.0%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
41.3%
Over 11 Corners
19.7%
Home Most Corners
56.1%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
30.3%
Over 5 Cards
6.3%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
44.0%
Home More Shots
50.3%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
48.2%
Away Exceed xG
49.1%
Total xG Over 2.5
28.3%
High xG Variance
39.3%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.0
Total Cards
2.8
League Position
Ceara
43 Points
17
Bahia
60 Points
7