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Caerau (Ely) VS Carmarthen Town

Caerau (Ely) logo

Caerau (Ely)

T. Parker 68'
T. Parker 73'
T. McLean 86'
3-4
Full Time
Carmarthen Town logo

Carmarthen Town

C. McNamara 47'
J. Joda 58'
L. Cummings 69'
L. Thomas 90+6'
Cwrt-yr-Ala Saturday, Feb 21, 2026 At 09:00 Est

Match Events

Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely)
Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town
47'
C. McNamara
Own Goal
58'
J. Joda
68'
T. Parker
69'
L. Cummings
73'
T. Parker
86'
T. McLean
Penalty
90'+6
L. Thomas
Penalty

Lineups

No lineups available for this match

Match Statistics

Match statistics not available

Statistics are not available for this match yet.

Team Comparison

62.7
Overall Strength
49.6
59% Attacking Power 41%
53.6% Defensive Strength 46.4%
61.3% Current Form 38.7%
50% Discipline 50%

Under/Over Statistics

Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely)
Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town
0% Over 0.5 0%
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Both Teams Score
0% | 0%
Clean Sheets
42% | 37%
Avg Total Goals
3.3 | 2.8

Cards Analysis

Caerau (Ely) 0.2/Game
3
3
46-60'
2
61-75'
2
76-90'
2
Carmarthen Town 0.2/Game
1
5
16-30'
2
46-60'
1
61-75'
2
76-90'
1

Season Comparison

2025/2026
Caerau (Ely)
18W 6D 0L | 67:34 | 1.94 ppg
Carmarthen Town
11W 12D 0L | 45:38 | 1.5 ppg
2024/2025
Caerau (Ely)
2W 1D 0L | 12:6 | 1.75 ppg
Carmarthen Town
1W 2D 0L | 7:8 | 1.25 ppg
2023/2024
Caerau (Ely)
2W 1D 0L | 11:10 | 1.75 ppg
Carmarthen Town
2W 0D 0L | 6:5 | 2 ppg

Match Result

Draw
Confidence: 36.0%

Goals Prediction

Over 2.5
50.6%

Both Teams Score

No
55.7%

Match Outcome Probabilities

Caerau (Ely) 31.8%
Draw 36.0%
Carmarthen Town 32.2%

AI Quick Analytics Summary

Overall Accuracy
68.0%
Market Analysis Confidence Value Result
Over 5 Cards No 99.5% Good ✓ Correct
Over 3 Cards No 92.8% Good ✓ Correct
Under 0.5 Goals No 91.7% Good ✓ Correct
Over 0.5 Goals Yes 91.7% Good ✓ Correct
Red Card No 90.2% Good ✓ Correct
Under 1.5 Goals No 74.3% Good ✓ Correct
Over 1.5 Goals Yes 74.3% Good ✓ Correct
Goal Before 15' No 73.8% Good ✓ Correct
Penalty Awarded No 72.2% Good ✕ Wrong
Over 3.5 Goals No 71.1% Good ✕ Wrong
Under 3.5 Goals Yes 71.1% Good ✕ Wrong
Goals After 80' No 64.3% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals in First 30' Yes 61.7% Fair ✕ Wrong
Possession Over 60% Yes 60.0% Fair N/A
Both Teams Score No 55.7% Fair ✕ Wrong
Goals Both Halves No 51.2% Fair ✓ Correct
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 50.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Under 2.5 Goals No 50.6% Fair ✓ Correct
Home More Shots No 50.0% Fair N/A
Home Most Corners No 50.0% Fair N/A
Half Time Result HT Draw 49.7% Low ✓ Correct
Match Result Draw 36.0% Low ✕ Wrong
Most Likely Score 0-1 13.5% Fair N/A

Goals Markets

Over 0.5
91.7%
Over 1.5
74.3%
Over 2.5
50.6%
Over 3.5
28.9%
Under 0.5
8.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Under 2.5
49.4%
Under 3.5
71.1%

Half Time Markets

HT Home Win
28.8%
HT Draw
49.7%
HT Away Win
21.5%

Timing Markets

Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
35.7%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%

Corners Markets

Over 9 Corners
0.1%
Over 11 Corners
0.1%
Home Most Corners
50.0%
Goal from Corner
5.0%

Cards Markets

Over 3 Cards
7.2%
Over 5 Cards
0.5%
Red Card
9.8%

Shots Markets

Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.1%
Home More Shots
50.0%

Expected Goals (xG) Markets

Home Exceed xG
49.0%
Away Exceed xG
49.5%
Total xG Over 2.5
35.0%
High xG Variance
40.5%

Special Markets

Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
45.0%

Additional Insights

Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%

Expected Values

Total Corners
0.0
Total Cards
1.6

Frequently Asked Questions about Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town