Bahia VS Atletico-MG
Recent Form
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2026
Atletico-MG
VS
Bahia
1 - 1
Atletico-MG
VS
Bahia
Serie A
MRV Arena
2026
Nov 5, 2025
Atletico-MG
VS
Bahia
3 - 0
Atletico-MG
VS
Bahia
Serie A
Arena MRV
2025
Jul 12, 2025
Bahia
VS
Atletico-MG
2 - 1
Bahia
VS
Atletico-MG
Serie A
Arena Fonte Nova
2025
Sep 15, 2024
Bahia
VS
Atletico-MG
3 - 0
Bahia
VS
Atletico-MG
Serie A
Arena Fonte Nova
2024
Jun 2, 2024
Atletico-MG
VS
Bahia
1 - 1
Atletico-MG
VS
Bahia
Serie A
Arena MRV
2024
Match Events
Bahia
Atletico-MG
5'
⚽
Robinho
Assist: Valdívia
21'
Matheus Mancini
Yellow Card
41'
Valdívia
Yellow Card
50'
Rómulo Otero
Yellow Card
55'
⚽
Edigar Junio
Penalty
56'
⇄
R. Otero
On: R. Otero
Off: Luan
Substitution
62'
⇄
Valdívia
On: Valdívia
Off: Gustavo Blanco
Substitution
64'
⚽
Edigar Junio
Assist: Juninho
71'
Luan
Yellow Card
74'
⚽
Robinho
Assist: Luan
76'
⇄
A. Allione
On: A. Allione
Off: Regis
Substitution
78'
⇄
Yago
On: Yago
Off: Marlone
Substitution
83'
Zé Rafael
Yellow Card
86'
⇄
Zé Rafael
On: Zé Rafael
Off: Vinicius
Substitution
Lineups
Bahia
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
Jean
#1
D
D
Juninho
#5
A. Allione
#8
Edigar Junio
#11
S. Mendoza
#17
Zé Rafael
#18
Eduardo
#22
Renê Júnior
#23
Juninho Capixaba
#36
Substitutes
F
M
D
M
M
D
G
Atletico-MG
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
Victor
#1
Fábio Santos
#6
Robinho
#7
Elias
#8
R. Otero
#11
Rafael Moura
#13
Valdívia
#20
Matheus Mancini
#23
Yago
#25
Bremer
#36
Roger Bernardo
#85
Substitutes
D
D
F
M
G
M
Match Statistics
Bahia
Atletico-MG
56%
Possession
44%
21
Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
6
7
Blocked Shots
2
12
Fouls
13
8
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
4
Saves
4
446
Passes
359
378
Accurate Passes
283
85%
Pass Accuracy
79%
Team Comparison
47.5
Overall Strength
48.4
49%
Attacking Power
51%
50.5%
Defensive Strength
49.5%
48.1%
Current Form
51.9%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Bahia
Atletico-MG
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
26%
|
24%
Avg Total Goals
2.6
|
2.7
Cards Analysis
Bahia
2.8/Game
98
7
0-15'
9
16-30'
15
31-45'
21
46-60'
13
61-75'
15
76-90'
32
Atletico-MG
2.9/Game
109
3
0-15'
9
16-30'
11
31-45'
23
46-60'
22
61-75'
17
76-90'
30
Season Comparison
2017/2018
Bahia
13W 11D 0L
|
50:48
|
1.32 ppg
Atletico-MG
14W 12D 0L
|
52:49
|
1.42 ppg
2015/2016
Bahia — No Data Available
Atletico-MG
21W 6D 0L
|
65:47
|
1.82 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
36.9%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
68.8%
Both Teams Score
Yes
68.4%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Bahia
36.9%
Draw
33.0%
Atletico-MG
30.1%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 97.1% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.1% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 86.9% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 86.9% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 76.4% | Good |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 74.4% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 69.8% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 68.8% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 68.8% | Fair |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 68.4% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 64.6% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 56.8% | Fair |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 56.4% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 54.7% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 52.6% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 52.6% | Fair |
| Over 11 Corners | Yes | 52.1% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 49.8% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 36.9% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 9.0% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
97.1%
Over 1.5
86.9%
Over 2.5
68.8%
Over 3.5
47.4%
Under 0.5
2.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Under 2.5
31.2%
Under 3.5
52.6%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.1%
HT Draw
49.8%
HT Away Win
21.1%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
76.4%
Goals After 80'
35.4%
Goals Both Halves
69.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
74.4%
Over 11 Corners
52.1%
Home Most Corners
54.7%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
56.4%
Home More Shots
56.8%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
53.8%
Away Exceed xG
52.0%
Total xG Over 2.5
68.8%
High xG Variance
47.8%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
11.9
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Bahia
50 Points
12
Atletico-MG
54 Points
9