Atletico-MG VS Gremio
Recent Form
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2026
Gremio
VS
Atletico-MG
2 - 1
Gremio
VS
Atletico-MG
Serie A
Arena do Grêmio
2026
Aug 17, 2025
Atletico-MG
VS
Gremio
1 - 3
Atletico-MG
VS
Gremio
Serie A
Arena MRV
2025
Mar 29, 2025
Gremio
VS
Atletico-MG
2 - 1
Gremio
VS
Atletico-MG
Serie A
Arena do Grêmio
2025
Oct 9, 2024
Atletico-MG
VS
Gremio
2 - 1
Atletico-MG
VS
Gremio
Serie A
Arena MRV
2024
Sep 1, 2024
Gremio
VS
Atletico-MG
2 - 3
Gremio
VS
Atletico-MG
Serie A
Arena do Grêmio
2024
Match Events
Atletico-MG
Gremio
11'
⚽
Hulk
Penalty
15'
•
Martin Braithwaite
Goal Cancelled
18'
Lyanco
Yellow Card
Foul
24'
⚽
A. Aravena
Assist: Dodi
33'
Jemerson
Yellow Card
Foul
35'
Agustín Marchesín
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
39'
⚽
Deyverson
Assist: Hulk
46'
⇄
Lyanco
On: Lyanco
Off: Bruno Fuchs
Substitution
54'
Deyverson
Yellow Card
Argument
54'
Reinaldo
Yellow Card
Argument
55'
Fausto Vera
Yellow Card
Foul
66'
⇄
Igor
On: Igor
Off: Diego Costa
Substitution
78'
⇄
F. Cristaldo
On: F. Cristaldo
Off: M. Monsalve
Substitution
78'
⇄
Jemerson
On: Jemerson
Off: C. Pavón
Substitution
80'
⇄
Deyverson
On: Deyverson
Off: Mariano
Substitution
87'
⇄
Otávio
On: Otávio
Off: Paulo Vitor
Substitution
87'
⇄
Pepê
On: Pepê
Off: Ronald
Substitution
87'
⇄
A. Aravena
On: A. Aravena
Off: Mayk
Substitution
87'
⇄
R. Saravia
On: R. Saravia
Off: B. Palacios
Substitution
90'
Hulk
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
90'+2
⇄
Hulk
On: Hulk
Off: Alan Kardec
Substitution
Lineups
Atletico-MG
(3-4-3)
Starting XI
Lyanco
#2
Otávio
#5
M
Hulk
#7
Deyverson
#9
Paulinho
#10
F. Vera
#18
R. Battaglia
#21
R. Saravia
#26
Matheus Mendes
#31
Rubens
#44
Substitutes
D
D
M
D
Gremio
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
A. Marchesín
#1
Rodrigo Ely
#5
Reinaldo
#6
F. Cristaldo
#10
Edenílson
#15
A. Aravena
#16
Dodi
#17
M. Braithwaite
#22
Pepê
#23
Jemerson
#28
Igor
#34
Substitutes
D
M
F
D
M
D
G
Match Statistics
Atletico-MG
Gremio
45%
Possession
55%
14
Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
4
2
Blocked Shots
5
15
Fouls
7
4
Corners
10
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Offsides
1
3
Saves
3
368
Passes
438
312
Accurate Passes
376
85%
Pass Accuracy
86%
Team Comparison
40
Overall Strength
40
50%
Attacking Power
50%
50%
Defensive Strength
50%
50%
Current Form
50%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Atletico-MG
Gremio
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
|
0%
Avg Total Goals
0
|
0
Cards Analysis
Atletico-MG
3/Game
204
12
0-15'
13
16-30'
30
31-45'
47
46-60'
26
61-75'
27
76-90'
73
Gremio
2.6/Game
159
12
0-15'
9
16-30'
17
31-45'
41
46-60'
18
61-75'
35
76-90'
51
Season Comparison
2023/2024
Atletico-MG
19W 9D 0L
|
52:32
|
1.74 ppg
Gremio
21W 5D 0L
|
63:56
|
1.79 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
37.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
64.7%
Both Teams Score
Yes
65.3%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Atletico-MG
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Gremio
30.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 96.4% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 96.4% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 84.5% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 84.5% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 76.1% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 75.0% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 71.3% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 67.8% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 65.3% | Good |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 64.7% | Fair |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 64.7% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 57.4% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 57.4% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 55.1% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 53.7% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 52.4% | Fair |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 51.9% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 51.6% | Fair |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 9.8% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
96.4%
Over 1.5
84.5%
Over 2.5
64.7%
Over 3.5
42.6%
Under 0.5
3.6%
Under 1.5
15.5%
Under 2.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
57.4%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.3%
HT Draw
51.6%
HT Away Win
21.1%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
75.0%
Goals After 80'
23.9%
Goals Both Halves
67.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
52.4%
Over 11 Corners
28.7%
Home Most Corners
53.7%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
51.9%
Home More Shots
55.1%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
53.1%
Away Exceed xG
51.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
64.7%
High xG Variance
46.7%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.9
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Atletico-MG
47 Points
12
Gremio
45 Points
14