Aston Villa VS Nottingham Forest
3-1
Full Time
Recent Form
Aston Villa
W
W
W
W
D
Head to Head
May 7, 2026
Aston Villa
VS
Nottingham Forest
4 - 0
Aston Villa
VS
Nottingham Forest
UEFA Europa League
Villa Park
2025
Apr 30, 2026
Nottingham Forest
VS
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
VS
Aston Villa
UEFA Europa League
The City Ground
2025
Apr 12, 2026
Nottingham Forest
VS
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
VS
Aston Villa
Premier League
The City Ground
2025
Jan 3, 2026
Aston Villa
VS
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
Aston Villa
VS
Nottingham Forest
Premier League
Villa Park
2025
Apr 5, 2025
Aston Villa
VS
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
Aston Villa
VS
Nottingham Forest
Premier League
Villa Park
2024
Match Events
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
45'
⚽
O. Watkins
Assist: M. Rogers
49'
⚽
J. McGinn
Assist: M. Cash
61'
⚽
M. Gibbs-White
Assist: D. Bakwa
65'
Dilane Bakwa
Yellow Card
Foul
69'
⇄
I. Maatsen
On: I. Maatsen
Off: L. Digne
Substitution
69'
⇄
E. Buendia
On: E. Buendia
Off: J. Sancho
Substitution
69'
⇄
D. Bakwa
On: D. Bakwa
Off: J. McAtee
Substitution
69'
⇄
O. Aina
On: O. Aina
Off: N. Savona
Substitution
73'
⚽
J. McGinn
Assist: Y. Tielemans
78'
⇄
John Victor
On: John Victor
Off: M. Sels
Substitution
83'
⇄
J. McGinn
On: J. McGinn
Off: L. Bogarde
Substitution
83'
⇄
O. Watkins
On: O. Watkins
Off: D. Malen
Substitution
83'
⇄
N. Dominguez
On: N. Dominguez
Off: Douglas Luiz
Substitution
83'
⇄
Igor Jesus
On: Igor Jesus
Off: A. Kalimuendo
Substitution
89'
James McAtee
Yellow Card
Foul
90'
⇄
M. Cash
On: M. Cash
Off: A. Garcia
Substitution
90'+4
Lamare Bogarde
Yellow Card
Foul
Lineups
Aston Villa
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
M. Cash
#2
V. Lindelof
#3
E. Konsa
#4
J. McGinn
#7
Y. Tielemans
#8
E. Buendia
#10
O. Watkins
#11
I. Maatsen
#22
E. Martinez
#23
M. Rogers
#27
B. Kamara
#44
Substitutes
D
F
G
Nottingham Forest
(4-5-1)
Starting XI
N. Williams
#3
Murillo
#5
E. Anderson
#8
M. Gibbs-White
#10
John Victor
#13
N. Dominguez
#16
Igor Jesus
#19
O. Hutchinson
#21
D. Bakwa
#29
N. Milenkovic
#31
O. Aina
#34
Substitutes
D
G
Match Statistics
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
73%
Possession
27%
11
Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Blocked Shots
2
10
Fouls
20
4
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Offsides
4
4
Saves
1
645
Passes
239
579
Accurate Passes
170
90%
Pass Accuracy
71%
Team Comparison
53.2
Overall Strength
44.7
53.8%
Attacking Power
46.2%
51%
Defensive Strength
49%
63.3%
Current Form
36.7%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
24%
|
24%
Avg Total Goals
2.8
|
2.6
Cards Analysis
Aston Villa
1.3/Game
48
1
0-15'
3
16-30'
3
31-45'
8
46-60'
17
61-75'
11
76-90'
7
Nottingham Forest
1.5/Game
55
1
0-15'
2
16-30'
5
31-45'
11
46-60'
15
61-75'
14
76-90'
9
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Aston Villa
19W 8D 0L
|
56:49
|
1.71 ppg
Nottingham Forest
11W 11D 0L
|
48:51
|
1.16 ppg
2024/2025
Aston Villa
1W 0D 0L
|
3:3
|
1.5 ppg
Nottingham Forest
0W 1D 0L
|
1:1
|
1 ppg
2023/2024
Aston Villa
1W 2D 0L
|
8:6
|
1.67 ppg
Nottingham Forest
0W 0D 0L
|
0:1
|
0 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
72.8%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
57.7%
Both Teams Score
No
67.2%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Aston Villa
72.8%
Draw
21.9%
Nottingham Forest
5.3%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
61.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 95.8% | Good | N/A |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 95.3% | Good | N/A |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 90.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 90.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 77.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 77.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 74.3% | Good | N/A |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good | N/A |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 73.0% | Good | N/A |
| Match Result | Home Win | 72.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | N/A |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 69.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 69.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | No | 67.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals After 80' | No | 65.2% | Good | N/A |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 64.9% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 61.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 57.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 57.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 56.8% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 53.9% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 50.4% | Fair | N/A |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.1% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 1-0 | 16.6% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
90.8%
Over 1.5
69.7%
Over 2.5
42.3%
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 0.5
9.2%
Under 1.5
30.3%
Under 2.5
57.7%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
34.7%
HT Draw
48.1%
HT Away Win
17.2%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
53.9%
Goals After 80'
34.8%
Goals Both Halves
38.5%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
50.4%
Over 11 Corners
27.0%
Home Most Corners
64.9%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
25.8%
Over 5 Cards
4.7%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
4.2%
Home More Shots
56.8%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
52.5%
Away Exceed xG
47.2%
Total xG Over 2.5
40.9%
High xG Variance
41.6%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.7
Total Cards
2.6