AC Milan VS Fiorentina
Recent Form
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2026
Fiorentina
VS
AC Milan
1 - 1
Fiorentina
VS
AC Milan
Serie A
Stadio Artemio Franchi
2025
Oct 19, 2025
AC Milan
VS
Fiorentina
2 - 1
AC Milan
VS
Fiorentina
Serie A
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
2025
Apr 5, 2025
AC Milan
VS
Fiorentina
2 - 2
AC Milan
VS
Fiorentina
Serie A
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
2024
Oct 6, 2024
Fiorentina
VS
AC Milan
2 - 1
Fiorentina
VS
AC Milan
Serie A
Stadio Artemio Franchi
2024
Mar 30, 2024
Fiorentina
VS
AC Milan
1 - 2
Fiorentina
VS
AC Milan
Serie A
Stadio Artemio Franchi
2023
Match Events
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2'
Youssef Maleh
Yellow Card
Foul
41'
Lorenzo Venuti
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
⇄
L. Venuti
On: L. Venuti
Off: L. Martínez
Substitution
56'
⇄
Junior Messias
On: Junior Messias
Off: A. Rebić
Substitution
56'
⇄
Brahim Díaz
On: Brahim Díaz
Off: R. Krunić
Substitution
59'
⇄
Y. Maleh
On: Y. Maleh
Off: G. Bonaventura
Substitution
67'
⇄
O. Giroud
On: O. Giroud
Off: Z. Ibrahimović
Substitution
67'
⇄
N. González
On: N. González
Off: J. Ikoné
Substitution
67'
⇄
A. Duncan
On: A. Duncan
Off: L. Torreira
Substitution
72'
Lucas Martínez Quarta
Yellow Card
Foul
79'
⇄
F. Kessié
On: F. Kessié
Off: I. Bennacer
Substitution
81'
⇄
R. Saponara
On: R. Saponara
Off: R. Sottil
Substitution
82'
⚽
Rafael Leão
88'
Ismaël Bennacer
Yellow Card
Foul
Lineups
AC Milan
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
D. Calabria
#2
S. Tonali
#8
O. Giroud
#9
Brahim Díaz
#10
M. Maignan
#16
Rafael Leão
#17
T. Hernández
#19
P. Kalulu
#20
F. Tomori
#23
Junior Messias
#30
F. Kessié
#79
Substitutes
D
F
Fiorentina
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
G
C. Biraghi
#3
D
R. Saponara
#8
F
Y. Maleh
#14
N. González
#22
L. Venuti
#23
A. Duncan
#32
S. Amrabat
#34
Igor
#98
Substitutes
M
Match Statistics
AC Milan
Fiorentina
48%
Possession
52%
13
Shots
8
2
Shots on Target
2
4
Blocked Shots
4
17
Fouls
17
2
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
3
6
Offsides
2
2
Saves
1
391
Passes
430
310
Accurate Passes
343
79%
Pass Accuracy
80%
Team Comparison
66
Overall Strength
53.2
53.9%
Attacking Power
46.1%
62.2%
Defensive Strength
37.8%
57.8%
Current Form
42.2%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
AC Milan
Fiorentina
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
47%
|
29%
Avg Total Goals
2.6
|
2.9
Cards Analysis
AC Milan
1.8/Game
67
2
0-15'
3
16-30'
9
31-45'
13
46-60'
9
61-75'
17
76-90'
18
Fiorentina
2.4/Game
83
8
0-15'
7
16-30'
11
31-45'
9
46-60'
20
61-75'
23
76-90'
21
Season Comparison
2021/2022
AC Milan
26W 8D 0L
|
69:31
|
2.26 ppg
Fiorentina
19W 5D 0L
|
59:51
|
1.63 ppg
2020/2021
AC Milan
24W 7D 0L
|
74:41
|
2.08 ppg
Fiorentina
9W 13D 0L
|
47:59
|
1.05 ppg
2019/2020
AC Milan
19W 9D 0L
|
63:46
|
1.74 ppg
Fiorentina
12W 13D 0L
|
51:48
|
1.29 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
37.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
70.4%
Both Teams Score
Yes
69.5%
Match Outcome Probabilities
AC Milan
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Fiorentina
30.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | No | 99.8% | Good |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 99.8% | Good |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 97.4% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.4% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 87.8% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 87.8% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 79.5% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 74.3% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 70.4% | Good |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 70.4% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 69.7% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 69.5% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 68.9% | Good |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 67.4% | Good |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Goals After 80' | No | 60.0% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 55.1% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 54.9% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 53.2% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 50.7% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 50.7% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.6% | Low |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 2-1 | 8.7% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
97.4%
Over 1.5
87.8%
Over 2.5
70.4%
Over 3.5
49.3%
Under 0.5
2.6%
Under 1.5
12.2%
Under 2.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
50.7%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.7%
HT Draw
48.6%
HT Away Win
22.7%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
30.3%
Goals in First 30'
79.5%
Goals After 80'
40.0%
Goals Both Halves
74.3%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
55.1%
Over 11 Corners
31.1%
Home Most Corners
54.9%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.2%
Over 25 Shots
0.2%
Over 8 On Target
67.4%
Home More Shots
53.2%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
54.2%
Away Exceed xG
52.1%
Total xG Over 2.5
70.4%
High xG Variance
48.2%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.1
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
AC Milan
70 Points
4
Fiorentina
56 Points
8