AC Milan VS AS Roma
Recent Form
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2026
AS Roma
VS
AC Milan
1 - 1
AS Roma
VS
AC Milan
Serie A
Stadio Olimpico
2025
Nov 2, 2025
AC Milan
VS
AS Roma
1 - 0
AC Milan
VS
AS Roma
Serie A
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
2025
May 18, 2025
AS Roma
VS
AC Milan
3 - 1
AS Roma
VS
AC Milan
Serie A
Stadio Olimpico
2024
Feb 5, 2025
AC Milan
VS
AS Roma
3 - 1
AC Milan
VS
AS Roma
Coppa Italia
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
2024
Dec 29, 2024
AC Milan
VS
AS Roma
1 - 1
AC Milan
VS
AS Roma
Serie A
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
2024
Match Events
AC Milan
AS Roma
34'
Neil El Aynaoui
Yellow Card
Foul
39'
⚽
S. Pavlovic
Assist: R. Leao
51'
⇄
M. Soule
On: M. Soule
Off: L. Bailey
Substitution
52'
⇄
N. El Aynaoui
On: N. El Aynaoui
Off: L. Pellegrini
Substitution
74'
Wesley
Yellow Card
Foul
75'
Zeki Çelik
Yellow Card
Foul
77'
⇄
Z. Celik
On: Z. Celik
Off: A. Dovbyk
Substitution
78'
Youssouf Fofana
Yellow Card
Foul
82'
❌
P. Dybala
Assist: P. Dybala
Missed Penalty
83'
Mario Hermoso
Yellow Card
Argument
84'
⇄
C. Nkunku
On: C. Nkunku
Off: R. Loftus-Cheek
Substitution
84'
⇄
M. Hermoso
On: M. Hermoso
Off: K. Tsimikas
Substitution
84'
⇄
P. Dybala
On: P. Dybala
Off: T. Baldanzi
Substitution
88'
⇄
A. Saelemaekers
On: A. Saelemaekers
Off: Z. Athekame
Substitution
90'+4
⇄
R. Leao
On: R. Leao
Off: F. Tomori
Substitution
90'+5
Gianluca Mancini
Yellow Card
Argument
Lineups
AC Milan
(3-5-2)
Starting XI
S. Ricci
#4
K. De Winter
#5
R. Leao
#10
L. Modric
#14
M. Maignan
#16
C. Nkunku
#18
Y. Fofana
#19
S. Pavlovic
#31
D. Bartesaghi
#33
M. Gabbia
#46
A. Saelemaekers
#56
Substitutes
D
AS Roma
(3-5-2)
Starting XI
B. Cristante
#4
E. Ndicka
#5
M
M. Kone
#17
M. Soule
#18
Z. Celik
#19
P. Dybala
#21
M. Hermoso
#22
G. Mancini
#23
Wesley Franca
#43
M. Svilar
#99
Substitutes
Match Statistics
AC Milan
AS Roma
37%
Possession
63%
17
Shots
20
8
Shots on Target
6
2
Blocked Shots
4
12
Fouls
13
7
Corners
8
1
Yellow Cards
5
2
Offsides
1
7
Saves
6
313
Passes
523
259
Accurate Passes
470
83%
Pass Accuracy
90%
Team Comparison
57
Overall Strength
61.6
47.3%
Attacking Power
52.7%
47%
Defensive Strength
53%
46.5%
Current Form
53.5%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
AC Milan
AS Roma
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
39%
|
47%
Avg Total Goals
2.3
|
2.4
Cards Analysis
AC Milan
1.5/Game
55
2
0-15'
4
16-30'
8
31-45'
4
46-60'
13
61-75'
12
76-90'
16
AS Roma
1.8/Game
64
3
0-15'
3
16-30'
7
31-45'
7
46-60'
16
61-75'
18
76-90'
16
Season Comparison
2025/2026
AC Milan
20W 10D 0L
|
53:35
|
1.84 ppg
AS Roma
23W 4D 0L
|
59:31
|
1.92 ppg
2024/2025
AC Milan
18W 9D 0L
|
61:43
|
1.66 ppg
AS Roma
20W 9D 0L
|
56:35
|
1.82 ppg
2023/2024
AC Milan
22W 9D 0L
|
76:49
|
1.97 ppg
AS Roma
18W 9D 0L
|
65:46
|
1.66 ppg
Match Result
Draw
Confidence:
80.4%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
57.2%
Both Teams Score
No
51.4%
Match Outcome Probabilities
AC Milan
14.6%
Draw
80.4%
AS Roma
5.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
61.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | No | 99.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 99.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 96.1% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 90.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 90.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Match Result | Draw | 80.4% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 78.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 78.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 76.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 76.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 75.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 74.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 68.9% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 68.9% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 67.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 63.0% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 59.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 57.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 57.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 56.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | Yes | 53.8% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 51.4% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Both Teams Score | No | 51.4% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Home Most Corners | No | 50.3% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 13.1% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
90.8%
Over 1.5
68.9%
Over 2.5
42.8%
Over 3.5
21.9%
Under 0.5
9.2%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Under 2.5
57.2%
Under 3.5
78.1%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
24.6%
HT Draw
51.4%
HT Away Win
24.0%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
67.2%
Goals After 80'
37.0%
Goals Both Halves
56.5%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
75.8%
Over 11 Corners
53.8%
Home Most Corners
49.7%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
23.2%
Over 5 Cards
3.9%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.5%
Over 25 Shots
0.5%
Over 8 On Target
76.8%
Home More Shots
59.5%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
50.0%
Away Exceed xG
50.0%
Total xG Over 2.5
42.8%
High xG Variance
42.0%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
12.0
Total Cards
2.5
League Position
AC Milan
70 Points
5
AS Roma
73 Points
3