Deportes Tolima VS Independiente Medellin
2-3
Full Time
Recent Form
Deportes Tolima
W
L
W
?
W
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2026
Deportes Tolima
VS
Independiente Medellin
2 - 3
Deportes Tolima
VS
Independiente Medellin
Primera A
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
2026
Jan 27, 2026
Independiente Medellin
VS
Deportes Tolima
2 - 2
Independiente Medellin
VS
Deportes Tolima
Primera A
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2026
Sep 27, 2025
Deportes Tolima
VS
Independiente Medellin
2 - 3
Deportes Tolima
VS
Independiente Medellin
Primera A
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
2025
Jun 15, 2025
Independiente Medellin
VS
Deportes Tolima
2 - 1
Independiente Medellin
VS
Deportes Tolima
Primera A
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
2025
Jun 4, 2025
Deportes Tolima
VS
Independiente Medellin
1 - 3
Deportes Tolima
VS
Independiente Medellin
Primera A
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
2025
Match Events
Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellin
1'
⚽
1'
⚽
D. Catano
16'
⚽
J. Montano
Assist: Yony Gonzalez
34'
⇄
D. Catano
On: D. Catano
Off: J. Cordoba
Substitution
41'
Homer Martinez
Yellow Card
Argument
47'
Jeison Medina
Yellow Card
56'
⚽
S. Guzman
Penalty
57'
⚽
S. Guzman
Penalty
57'
⚽
J. Cordoba
Assist: J. Montano
60'
Joaquin Varela
Red Card
Foul
62'
⇄
Yony Gonzalez
On: Yony Gonzalez
Off: A. Simarra
Substitution
63'
⇄
Yony Gonzalez
On: Yony Gonzalez
Off: A. Simarra
Substitution
65'
⇄
J. Mosquera
On: J. Mosquera
Off: K. Florez
Substitution
65'
⇄
H. E. Martinez Yepez
On: H. E. Martinez Yepez
Off: L. Sanchez
Substitution
65'
⇄
A. Parra Osorio
On: A. Parra Osorio
Off: J. Hernandez
Substitution
65'
⇄
H. E. Martinez Yepez
On: H. E. Martinez Yepez
Off: L. Sanchez
Substitution
65'
⇄
A. Parra Osorio
On: A. Parra Osorio
Off: J. Hernandez
Substitution
65'
⇄
J. Mosquera
On: J. Mosquera
Off: K. Florez
Substitution
66'
⇄
A. Parra Osorio
On: A. Parra Osorio
Off: J. Hernandez
Substitution
66'
⇄
C. Arrieta
On: C. Arrieta
Off: E. Valencia
Substitution
73'
⇄
J. Hurtado
On: J. Hurtado
Off: J. Valencia
Substitution
73'
⇄
J. Montano
On: J. Montano
Off: H. Palacios
Substitution
73'
⇄
A. Martegani
On: A. Martegani
Off: B. Perlaza
Substitution
73'
⇄
A. Martegani
On: A. Martegani
Off: B. Perlaza
Substitution
73'
⇄
J. Montano
On: J. Montano
Off: H. Palacios
Substitution
74'
⇄
J. Montano
On: J. Montano
Off: H. Palacios
Substitution
74'
⇄
A. Martegani
On: A. Martegani
Off: B. Perlaza
Substitution
77'
Sebastián Guzmán
Yellow Card
Foul
84'
⚽
J. Hernandez
Assist: E. Valencia
90'+5
Baldomero Perlaza
Yellow Card
Foul
Lineups
Deportes Tolima
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
J. Angulo
#3
J. Hurtado
#7
L. Sandoval
#9
M. Ortega
#13
M
C. Arrieta
#17
A. Parra Osorio
#24
E. Lopez
#28
S. Guzman
#32
J. Mosquera
#33
Y. Osorio
#71
Substitutes
Independiente Medellin
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
J. Varela
#5
D. Moreno
#6
J. Medina
#9
D. Catano
#10
Yony Gonzalez
#11
J. Mena
#13
J. Montano
#20
A. Martegani
#21
E. Chaux
#25
E. Mena Perea
#26
L. Escorcia
#39
Substitutes
Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellin
66%
Possession
34%
21
Shots
14
11
Shots on Target
5
4
Blocked Shots
4
7
Fouls
10
9
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
0
2
Saves
8
524
Passes
267
449
Accurate Passes
194
86%
Pass Accuracy
73%
Team Comparison
55.3
Overall Strength
52.2
49.1%
Attacking Power
50.9%
56%
Defensive Strength
44%
51.4%
Current Form
48.6%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellin
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
33%
|
27%
Avg Total Goals
2.4
|
2.8
Cards Analysis
Deportes Tolima
2.4/Game
57
9
0-15'
6
16-30'
9
31-45'
12
46-60'
14
61-75'
9
76-90'
16
Independiente Medellin
3/Game
60
7
0-15'
6
16-30'
6
31-45'
15
46-60'
14
61-75'
8
76-90'
18
Season Comparison
2026/2027
Deportes Tolima
13W 7D 0L
|
39:27
|
1.7 ppg
Independiente Medellin
10W 5D 0L
|
33:28
|
1.59 ppg
2025/2026
Deportes Tolima
28W 12D 0L
|
73:49
|
1.78 ppg
Independiente Medellin
25W 17D 0L
|
80:52
|
1.7 ppg
2024/2025
Deportes Tolima
27W 12D 0L
|
73:46
|
1.79 ppg
Independiente Medellin
15W 13D 0L
|
45:46
|
1.53 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
47.4%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
67.0%
Both Teams Score
Yes
67.2%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Deportes Tolima
47.4%
Draw
28.4%
Independiente Medellin
24.2%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
62.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | Yes | 96.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 94.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 94.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 90.9% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 87.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 25 Shots | Yes | 83.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 80.3% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 79.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 79.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 73.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 71.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 67.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 67.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 67.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 65.4% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 65.4% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 5 Cards | Yes | 63.3% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 60.5% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Red Card | No | 54.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home Most Corners | No | 52.9% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 52.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | No | 51.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 50.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Home Win | 47.4% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Home Win | 41.0% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 2-1 | 9.5% | Low | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
94.9%
Over 1.5
79.6%
Over 2.5
67.0%
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 0.5
5.1%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Under 2.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
65.4%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
41.0%
HT Draw
29.6%
HT Away Win
29.4%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
28.2%
Goals in First 30'
48.3%
Goals After 80'
19.7%
Goals Both Halves
39.5%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
26.5%
Over 11 Corners
9.1%
Home Most Corners
47.1%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
87.7%
Over 5 Cards
63.3%
Red Card
45.3%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
96.8%
Over 25 Shots
83.5%
Over 8 On Target
49.9%
Home More Shots
52.1%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
48.7%
Away Exceed xG
49.2%
Total xG Over 2.5
31.8%
High xG Variance
39.9%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
7.7
Total Cards
4.7
League Position
Deportes Tolima
31 Points
6
Independiente Medellin
26 Points
11