Toluca VS Necaxa
3-1
Full Time
Recent Form
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2026
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
3 - 1
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Diez
2026
Feb 21, 2026
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
0 - 3
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Victoria
2025
Jul 12, 2025
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
3 - 1
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2025
Mar 8, 2025
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
5 - 2
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2024
Oct 27, 2024
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
1 - 3
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Victoria
2024
Match Events
Toluca
Necaxa
29'
⚽
I. Lopez
Assist: J. Gallardo
30'
⚽
I. Lopez
Assist: J. Gallardo
42'
⚽
J. Carranza
Assist: A. Pena
44'
•
J. Carranza
Goal Under Review - Foul
44'
•
Julián Carranza
Goal Confirmed
45'
⚽
E. del Villar
Assist: I. Lopez
45'
⇄
Juan Torres
On: Juan Torres
Off: Pedro Pedraza
Substitution
45'
⇄
Carlos Vargas
On: Carlos Vargas
Off: Mauro Zaleta
Substitution
45'
⇄
Javier Ruiz
On: Javier Ruiz
Off: Juan Valencia
Substitution
45'+4
Raúl Martínez
Yellow Card
Foul
45'+5
⚽
J. Angulo
45'+6
Julián Carranza
Red Card
Argument
45'+7
Agustín Oliveros
Yellow Card
Argument
46'
⇄
J. P. Torres Patino
On: J. P. Torres Patino
Off: P. Pedraza
Substitution
46'
⇄
C. Vargas
On: C. Vargas
Off: M. Zaleta
Substitution
46'
⇄
J. Ruiz
On: J. Ruiz
Off: J. Valencia
Substitution
57'
⚽
L. Jimenez
Own Goal
59'
⇄
J. Diaz Price
On: J. Diaz Price
Off: V. Guzman
Substitution
59'
⇄
I. Lopez
On: I. Lopez
Off: F. Vinas
Substitution
59'
⇄
I. Lopez
On: I. Lopez
Off: F. Vinas
Substitution
59'
⇄
J. Diaz Price
On: J. Diaz Price
Off: V. Guzman
Substitution
65'
⇄
E. Gutierrez
On: E. Gutierrez
Off: Helinho
Substitution
65'
⇄
J. Angulo
On: J. Angulo
Off: P. Perez
Substitution
67'
⇄
L. Faravelli
On: L. Faravelli
Off: M. Espindola
Substitution
80'
Agustín Oliveros
Yellow Card
Foul
80'
Agustín Oliveros
Red Card
Foul
85'
⇄
D. Leyva
On: D. Leyva
Off: F. Mendez
Substitution
90'
⇄
A. Vega
On: A. Vega
Off: A. Briseno
Substitution
90'+7
Franco Romero
Yellow Card
Argument
90'+7
Juan Valencia
Yellow Card
Foul
Lineups
Toluca
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
F. Romero
#5
F. Pereira
#6
A. Vega
#9
J. Angulo
#10
S. Simon
#19
J. Gallardo
#20
I. Lopez
#21
L. Garcia
#22
E. del Villar
#25
J. Diaz Price
#29
E. Gutierrez
#35
Substitutes
F
D
M
F
M
Necaxa
(5-3-2)
Starting XI
A. Oliveros
#3
A. Pena
#4
D. Leyva
#6
L. Faravelli
#8
J. Carranza
#9
J. Ruiz
#10
F
L. Jimenez
#12
R. Martinez
#33
C. Vargas
#88
E. Rodriguez
#99
Substitutes
D
Match Statistics
Toluca
Necaxa
75%
Possession
25%
25
Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Blocked Shots
2
15
Fouls
10
6
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
2
1
Offsides
0
1
Saves
5
745
Passes
248
689
Accurate Passes
182
92%
Pass Accuracy
73%
Team Comparison
58.8
Overall Strength
55.8
47.4%
Attacking Power
52.6%
69%
Defensive Strength
31%
42.9%
Current Form
57.1%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Toluca
Necaxa
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
50%
|
0%
Avg Total Goals
2.3
|
3.4
Cards Analysis
Toluca
0.8/Game
3
0
16-30'
2
61-75'
1
Necaxa
2.7/Game
6
2
0-15'
1
16-30'
1
31-45'
1
46-60'
3
76-90'
2
Season Comparison
2026/2027
Toluca
2W 1D 0L
|
6:3
|
1.75 ppg
Necaxa
2W 0D 0L
|
5:5
|
2 ppg
2025/2026
Toluca
22W 11D 0L
|
79:43
|
1.83 ppg
Necaxa
9W 8D 0L
|
43:57
|
1.03 ppg
2024/2025
Toluca
24W 11D 0L
|
89:47
|
1.98 ppg
Necaxa
13W 9D 0L
|
58:57
|
1.33 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
61.3%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
73.7%
Both Teams Score
Yes
68.7%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Toluca
61.3%
Draw
21.6%
Necaxa
17.1%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
77.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 96.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 96.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 20 Shots | Yes | 84.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 83.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 83.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 81.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 80.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 79.0% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 76.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 73.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 73.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 70.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 68.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | No | 61.9% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Home Win | 61.3% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 59.2% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 59.2% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 57.3% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 52.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 52.3% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 52.2% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 52.2% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 50.7% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 50.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Home Win | 39.5% | Low | ✓ Correct |
| Most Likely Score | 2-1 | 9.9% | Low | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
96.1%
Over 1.5
83.5%
Over 2.5
73.7%
Over 3.5
40.8%
Under 0.5
3.9%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Under 2.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
59.2%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
39.5%
HT Draw
29.9%
HT Away Win
30.6%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
29.8%
Goals in First 30'
50.7%
Goals After 80'
21.0%
Goals Both Halves
42.7%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
47.8%
Over 11 Corners
23.5%
Home Most Corners
52.6%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
80.6%
Over 5 Cards
47.7%
Red Card
47.8%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
84.0%
Over 25 Shots
49.4%
Over 8 On Target
81.5%
Home More Shots
38.1%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.8%
Away Exceed xG
48.8%
Total xG Over 2.5
35.6%
High xG Variance
40.6%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.4
Total Cards
4.4
League Position
Toluca
7 Points
5
Necaxa
6 Points
10